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Luxembourg vs Iceland Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

World · UEFA Nations LeagueTue, 29 Sept 2026

Luxembourg

LWWLL

Tue, 29 Sept 202619:45

0 : 3

Full time

Iceland

DLLDD

Pre-match win probability

30.3%Luxembourg28.9%Draw40.8%Iceland

Our prediction

Home or Draw · Luxembourg

Luxembourg vs Iceland listed tip from the board.

Odds1.57
Confidence40.8%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Luxembourg 30.3%
  • Draw 28.9%
  • Iceland 40.8%

Season statistics

UEFA Nations League · 9 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

LuxembourgIceland
Goals scored (avg)
0.9–
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
0.9–

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Luxembourg4W 0D 5L in last 9
  • 6 OctLuxembourg0 – 2BulgariaL
  • 3 OctEstonia1 – 0LuxembourgL
  • 26 SeptBulgaria1 – 2LuxembourgW
  • 6 JunAlbania0 – 1LuxembourgW
  • 3 JunLuxembourg0 – 1ItalyL
Iceland0W 0D 0L in last 0
    H2H
    Head to headLuxembourg 1W · 1D · Iceland 0W · 3 goals a game
    • 13 OctIceland1 – 1Luxembourg
    • 8 SeptLuxembourg3 – 1Iceland

    Betting markets

    Bookmaker prices with margin removed

    Goal lineOverUnder
    0.5 goals22.1% · 1.062.9% · 8
    1.5 goals17.2% · 1.367.8% · 3
    2.5 goals10.7% · 2.214.2% · 1.65
    3.5 goals5.9% · 419.2% · 1.22

    Both teams to score

    Yes48.5%
    No51.5%

    Double chance

    1X46.4%
    X253.6%

    Match result

    Luxembourg3.1
    Draw3.25
    Iceland2.3

    Both teams to score

    Yes48.5% · 1.91
    No51.5% · 1.8

    1X

    Chance46.4%
    Odds1.57

    X2

    Chance53.6%
    Odds1.36

    Luxembourg

    Chance30.3%
    Odds3.1

    Draw

    Chance28.9%
    Odds3.25

    Iceland

    Chance40.8%
    Odds2.3

    No half-time prices stored.

    No corner prices stored.

    Model comparison

    Our pick: Home or Draw at 1.57

    LuxembourgIceland
    Recent form92%8%
    Attack47%53%
    Defence68%32%
    Goals model47%53%
    Head-to-head75%25%
    Overall43%57%

    Trends

    Trend · UEFA Nations League

    Luxembourg scored 0.9 per game in the last 9.

    Trend · UEFA Nations League

    Luxembourg conceded 0.9 per game in the last 9.

    Trend · UEFA Nations League

    Failed to score in 5 of those 9.

    Trend · UEFA Nations League

    Kept a clean sheet in 3 of those 9.

    Luxembourg vs Iceland: prediction & preview

    World · UEFA Nations League · Tue, 29 Sept 2026

    Luxembourg meet Iceland in the World, UEFA Nations League on 29 September 2026 at 19:45 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 0–3.

    On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Iceland at 2.3. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 40.8% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

    The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.65, about 57.1% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on No at 1.8.

    Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

    Luxembourg vs Iceland FAQs

    4 questions

    What time is Luxembourg vs Iceland?

    Kickoff is 19:45 on 29 September 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

    Which outcome is shortest on Luxembourg vs Iceland?

    Iceland is the shortest 1X2 price at 2.3. The margin-adjusted share is about 40.8%.

    What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

    Over 2.5 is 2.2 and under 2.5 is 1.65.

    Do both teams score on this match?

    Both teams to score is priced at 1.91. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.