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Luxembourg vs Italy Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

World · FriendliesWed, 3 Jun 2026

Luxembourg

Wed, 3 Jun 202619:45

0 : 1

Full time

Italy

WLWDW

Pre-match win probability

14.6%Luxembourg21.1%Draw64.3%Italy

Our prediction

Away · Luxembourg

Luxembourg vs Italy listed tip from the board.

Odds1.42
Confidence64.3%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Luxembourg 14.6%
  • Draw 21.1%
  • Italy 64.3%

Season statistics

Friendlies · highlighted side is stronger

LuxembourgItaly
Goals scored (avg)
–1.7
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
–1.1

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Luxembourg0W 0D 0L in last 0
    Italy5W 2D 2L in last 9
    • 5 OctItaly3 – 1TürkiyeW
    • 2 OctFrance1 – 1ItalyD
    • 28 SeptTürkiye1 – 4ItalyW
    • 25 SeptItaly0 – 2BelgiumL
    • 7 JunGreece0 – 1ItalyW
    H2H
    Head to headNo previous meetings found between these sides.

    Betting markets

    Bookmaker prices with margin removed

    Goal lineOverUnder
    0.5 goals22.7% · 1.042% · 12
    1.5 goals18.9% · 1.256.3% · 3.75
    2.5 goals13.5% · 1.7511.5% · 2.05
    3.5 goals7.9% · 317.3% · 1.36

    Both teams to score

    Yes48.5%
    No51.5%

    Double chance

    1X29.8%
    X270.2%

    Match result

    Luxembourg6.25
    Draw4.33
    Italy1.42

    Both teams to score

    Yes48.5% · 1.91
    No51.5% · 1.8

    1X

    Chance29.8%
    Odds2.62

    X2

    Chance70.2%
    Odds1.11

    Luxembourg

    Chance14.6%
    Odds6.25

    Draw

    Chance21.1%
    Odds4.33

    Italy

    Chance64.3%
    Odds1.42

    No half-time prices stored.

    No corner prices stored.

    Model comparison

    Our pick: Away at 1.42

    LuxembourgItaly
    Recent form6%94%
    Attack37%63%
    Defence34%66%
    Goals model37%63%
    Overall19%81%

    Trends

    Trend · Friendlies

    Italy scored 1.7 per game in the last 9.

    Trend · Friendlies

    Italy conceded 1.1 per game in the last 9.

    Trend · Friendlies

    Failed to score in 1 of those 9.

    Trend · Friendlies

    Kept a clean sheet in 3 of those 9.

    Luxembourg vs Italy: prediction & preview

    World · Friendlies · Wed, 3 Jun 2026

    Luxembourg meet Italy in the World, Friendlies on 3 June 2026 at 19:45 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 0–1.

    On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Italy at 1.42. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 64.3% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

    The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.75, about 53.9% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on No at 1.8.

    Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

    Luxembourg vs Italy FAQs

    4 questions

    What time is Luxembourg vs Italy?

    Kickoff is 19:45 on 3 June 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

    Which outcome is shortest on Luxembourg vs Italy?

    Italy is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.42. The margin-adjusted share is about 64.3%.

    What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

    Over 2.5 is 1.75 and under 2.5 is 2.05.

    Do both teams score on this match?

    Both teams to score is priced at 1.91. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.