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Macara vs Libertad Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Ecuador · Liga ProSun, 26 Apr 2026

Macara

3rd in table · 51 pts

WWWWW

Sun, 26 Apr 202619:00

3 : 0

Full time

Libertad

7th in table · 41 pts

LWWWL

Pre-match win probability

48.4%Macara27.2%Draw24.3%Libertad

Our prediction

Home or Draw · Macara

Macara vs Libertad listed tip from the board.

Odds1.22
Confidence48.4%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Macara 48.4%
  • Draw 27.2%
  • Libertad 24.3%

Season statistics

Liga Pro · 10 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

MacaraLibertad
Goals scored (avg)
1.41.7
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
11.2
Wins
1511
Played
3030

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Macara7W 1D 2L in last 10
  • 24 OctLDU de Quito1 – 2MacaraW
  • 17 OctMacara1 – 0Independiente del ValleW
  • 11 OctUniversidad Catolica0 – 1MacaraW
  • 19 SeptAucas1 – 2MacaraW
  • 13 SeptMacara1 – 0EmelecW
Libertad5W 2D 3L in last 10
  • 25 OctLeones del Norte4 – 1LibertadL
  • 17 OctLibertad4 – 0Guayaquil City FCW
  • 9 OctLibertad3 – 0Leones del NorteW
  • 20 SeptEmelec1 – 2LibertadW
  • 14 SeptLibertad2 – 3Independiente del ValleL
H2H
Head to headMacara 3W · 1D · Libertad 1W · 1.6 goals a game
  • 25 AugLibertad1 – 0Macara
  • 21 SeptMacara1 – 1Libertad
  • 25 MayLibertad0 – 1Macara
  • 17 AugLibertad0 – 1Macara
  • 15 MarMacara3 – 0Libertad

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22% · 1.072.6% · 9
1.5 goals17.3% · 1.367.9% · 3
2.5 goals10.7% · 2.214.3% · 1.65
3.5 goals5.9% · 419.3% · 1.22

Both teams to score

Yes46.4%
No53.6%

Double chance

1X61.5%
X238.5%

Match result

Macara1.91
Draw3.4
Libertad3.8

Both teams to score

Yes46.4% · 2
No53.6% · 1.73

1X

Chance61.5%
Odds1.22

X2

Chance38.5%
Odds1.95

Macara

Chance48.4%
Odds1.91

Draw

Chance27.2%
Odds3.4

Libertad

Chance24.3%
Odds3.8

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Home or Draw at 1.22

MacaraLibertad
Recent form56%44%
Attack45%55%
Defence53%47%
Goals model45%55%
Head-to-head70%30%
Overall67%33%

Trends

Trend · Liga Pro

Macara scored 1.4 per game in the last 10.

Trend · Liga Pro

Macara conceded 1 per game in the last 10.

Trend · Liga Pro

Failed to score in 2 of those 10.

Trend · Liga Pro

Kept a clean sheet in 4 of those 10.

Macara vs Libertad: prediction & preview

Ecuador · Liga Pro · Sun, 26 Apr 2026

Macara meet Libertad in the Ecuador, Liga Pro on 26 April 2026 at 19:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 3–0.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Macara at 1.91. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 48.4% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.65, about 57.1% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on No at 1.73.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Macara vs Libertad FAQs

4 questions

What time is Macara vs Libertad?

Kickoff is 19:00 on 26 April 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Macara vs Libertad?

Macara is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.91. The margin-adjusted share is about 48.4%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 2.2 and under 2.5 is 1.65.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 2. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.