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Madureira vs Sampaio Corrêa RJ Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Brazil · Carioca - 1Thu, 22 Jan 2026

Madureira

WL

Thu, 22 Jan 202621:00

2 : 1

Full time

Sampaio Corrêa RJ

WL

Pre-match win probability

40.8%Madureira30.6%Draw28.7%Sampaio Corrêa RJ

Our prediction

Draw · Madureira

Madureira vs Sampaio Corrêa RJ listed tip from the board.

Odds3
Confidence40.8%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Madureira 40.8%
  • Draw 30.6%
  • Sampaio Corrêa RJ 28.7%

Season statistics

Carioca - 1 · highlighted side is stronger

MadureiraSampaio Corrêa RJ

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals21.8% · 1.082.9% · 8
1.5 goals16.8% · 1.48.6% · 2.75
2.5 goals10.2% · 2.314.7% · 1.6
3.5 goals5.4% · 4.3319.6% · 1.2

Both teams to score

Yes48%
No52%

Double chance

1X55.7%
X244.3%

Match result

Madureira2.25
Draw3
Sampaio Corrêa RJ3.2

Both teams to score

Yes48% · 1.95
No52% · 1.8

1X

Chance55.7%
Odds1.33

X2

Chance44.3%
Odds1.67

Madureira

Chance40.8%
Odds2.25

Draw

Chance30.6%
Odds3

Sampaio Corrêa RJ

Chance28.7%
Odds3.2

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Draw at 3

MadureiraSampaio Corrêa RJ
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall59%41%

Madureira vs Sampaio Corrêa RJ: prediction & preview

Brazil · Carioca - 1 · Thu, 22 Jan 2026

Madureira meet Sampaio Corrêa RJ in the Brazil, Carioca - 1 on 22 January 2026 at 21:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 2–1.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Madureira at 2.25. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 40.8% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.6, about 59% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on No at 1.8.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Madureira vs Sampaio Corrêa RJ FAQs

4 questions

What time is Madureira vs Sampaio Corrêa RJ?

Kickoff is 21:00 on 22 January 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Madureira vs Sampaio Corrêa RJ?

Madureira is the shortest 1X2 price at 2.25. The margin-adjusted share is about 40.8%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 2.3 and under 2.5 is 1.6.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.95. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Madureira vs Sampaio Corrêa RJ prediction, H2H and stats