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Mafra vs Academica Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Portugal · Liga 3Sat, 9 May 2026

Mafra

Sat, 9 May 202620:00

3 : 3

Full time

Academica

LWWWW

Pre-match win probability

34.3%Mafra29%Draw36.7%Academica

Our prediction

Academica

Academica is the shortest 1X2 price in the stored market.

Odds2.45
Confidence36.7%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Mafra 34.3%
  • Draw 29%
  • Academica 36.7%

Season statistics

Liga 3 · highlighted side is stronger

MafraAcademica
Goals scored (avg)
–2.1
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
–1.3

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Mafra0W 0D 0L in last 0
    Academica7W 0D 3L in last 10
    • 24 OctAcademica4 – 0LeixoesW
    • 17 OctAcademica3 – 2AmaranteW
    • 11 OctUnião de Leiria0 – 2AcademicaW
    • 18 SeptReal1 – 4AcademicaW
    • 11 SeptAcademica0 – 3Benfica BL
    H2H
    Head to headMafra 3W · 4D · Academica 2W · 2.3 goals a game
    • 15 MarAcademica2 – 0Mafra
    • 6 DecAcademica3 – 3Mafra
    • 24 AugMafra1 – 0Academica
    • 30 AprAcademica0 – 2Mafra
    • 18 DecMafra2 – 2Academica
    • 8 MayMafra2 – 2Academica

    Betting markets

    Bookmaker prices with margin removed

    Goal lineOverUnder
    2.5 goals42.9% · 2.257.1% · 1.65

    Double chance

    1X49.3%
    X250.7%

    Match result

    Mafra2.62
    Draw3.1
    Academica2.45

    No BTTS prices stored.

    1X

    Chance49.3%
    Odds1.44

    X2

    Chance50.7%
    Odds1.4

    Mafra

    Chance34.3%
    Odds2.62

    Draw

    Chance29%
    Odds3.1

    Academica

    Chance36.7%
    Odds2.45

    No half-time prices stored.

    No corner prices stored.

    Model comparison

    Our pick: Academica at 2.45

    MafraAcademica
    Recent form5%95%
    Attack32%68%
    Defence37%63%
    Goals model32%68%
    Head-to-head56%44%
    Overall48%52%

    Trends

    Trend · Liga 3

    Academica scored 2.1 per game in the last 10.

    Trend · Liga 3

    Academica conceded 1.3 per game in the last 10.

    Trend · Liga 3

    Failed to score in 2 of those 10.

    Trend · Liga 3

    Kept a clean sheet in 4 of those 10.

    Mafra vs Academica: prediction & preview

    Portugal · Liga 3 · Sat, 9 May 2026

    Mafra meet Academica in the Portugal, Liga 3 on 9 May 2026 at 20:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 3–3.

    On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Academica at 2.45. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 36.7% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

    The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.65, about 57.1% after the margin).

    Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

    Mafra vs Academica FAQs

    4 questions

    What time is Mafra vs Academica?

    Kickoff is 20:00 on 9 May 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

    Which outcome is shortest on Mafra vs Academica?

    Academica is the shortest 1X2 price at 2.45. The margin-adjusted share is about 36.7%.

    What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

    Over 2.5 is 2.2 and under 2.5 is 1.65.

    Do both teams score on this match?

    A both-teams-to-score price is not stored for this match.