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Malaga vs AD Ceuta FC Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Spain · Segunda DivisiónSun, 11 Jan 2026

Malaga

WWWDL

Sun, 11 Jan 202616:15

2 : 1

Full time

AD Ceuta FC

WWDDL

Pre-match win probability

45.6%Malaga28.4%Draw26%AD Ceuta FC

Our prediction

Home or Draw · Malaga

Malaga vs AD Ceuta FC listed tip from the board.

Odds1.28
Confidence45.6%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Malaga 45.6%
  • Draw 28.4%
  • AD Ceuta FC 26%

Season statistics

Segunda División · highlighted side is stronger

MalagaAD Ceuta FC

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22% · 1.072.6% · 9
1.5 goals17.3% · 1.367.9% · 3
2.5 goals11% · 2.1514.1% · 1.67
3.5 goals6.3% · 3.7518.8% · 1.25

Both teams to score

Yes50%
No50%

Double chance

1X57.5%
X242.5%

Match result

Malaga2.05
Draw3.3
AD Ceuta FC3.6

Both teams to score

Yes50% · 1.83
No50% · 1.83

1X

Chance57.5%
Odds1.28

X2

Chance42.5%
Odds1.73

Malaga

Chance45.6%
Odds2.05

Draw

Chance28.4%
Odds3.3

AD Ceuta FC

Chance26%
Odds3.6

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Home or Draw at 1.28

MalagaAD Ceuta FC
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall64%36%

Malaga vs AD Ceuta FC: prediction & preview

Spain · Segunda División · Sun, 11 Jan 2026

Malaga meet AD Ceuta FC in the Spain, Segunda División on 11 January 2026 at 16:15 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 2–1.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Malaga at 2.05. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 45.6% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.67, about 56.3% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.83.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Malaga vs AD Ceuta FC FAQs

4 questions

What time is Malaga vs AD Ceuta FC?

Kickoff is 16:15 on 11 January 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Malaga vs AD Ceuta FC?

Malaga is the shortest 1X2 price at 2.05. The margin-adjusted share is about 45.6%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 2.15 and under 2.5 is 1.67.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.83. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Malaga vs AD Ceuta FC prediction, H2H and stats