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Malaga vs Almeria Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Spain · Segunda DivisiónSun, 21 Dec 2025

Malaga

WDLDW

Sun, 21 Dec 202514:00

2 : 1

Full time

Almeria

LWLDL

Pre-match win probability

32.9%Malaga29.2%Draw37.9%Almeria

Our prediction

Home or Draw · Malaga

Malaga vs Almeria listed tip from the board.

Odds1.5
Confidence37.9%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Malaga 32.9%
  • Draw 29.2%
  • Almeria 37.9%

Season statistics

Segunda División · highlighted side is stronger

MalagaAlmeria

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Malaga0W 0D 0L in last 0
    Almeria0W 0D 0L in last 0
      H2H
      Head to headMalaga 3W · 3D · Almeria 3W · 2.2 goals a game
      • 20 JunAlmeria1 – 2Malaga
      • 14 JunMalaga0 – 0Almeria
      • 19 AprAlmeria3 – 2Malaga
      • 26 JulAlmeria1 – 2Malaga
      • 1 MarAlmeria2 – 2Malaga
      • 8 DecMalaga1 – 1Almeria

      Betting markets

      Bookmaker prices with margin removed

      Goal lineOverUnder
      0.5 goals22.3% · 1.062.4% · 10
      1.5 goals18.5% · 1.286.8% · 3.5
      2.5 goals12.1% · 1.9512.8% · 1.85
      3.5 goals7.3% · 3.2517.8% · 1.33

      Both teams to score

      Yes55.7%
      No44.3%

      Double chance

      1X48.3%
      X251.7%

      Match result

      Malaga2.88
      Draw3.25
      Almeria2.5

      Both teams to score

      Yes55.7% · 1.67
      No44.3% · 2.1

      1X

      Chance48.3%
      Odds1.5

      X2

      Chance51.7%
      Odds1.4

      Malaga

      Chance32.9%
      Odds2.88

      Draw

      Chance29.2%
      Odds3.25

      Almeria

      Chance37.9%
      Odds2.5

      No half-time prices stored.

      No corner prices stored.

      Model comparison

      Our pick: Home or Draw at 1.5

      MalagaAlmeria
      Recent form50%50%
      Attack50%50%
      Defence50%50%
      Goals model50%50%
      Head-to-head50%50%
      Overall46%54%

      Malaga vs Almeria: prediction & preview

      Spain · Segunda División · Sun, 21 Dec 2025

      Malaga meet Almeria in the Spain, Segunda División on 21 December 2025 at 14:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 2–1.

      On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Almeria at 2.5. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 37.9% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

      The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.85, about 51.3% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.67.

      Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

      Malaga vs Almeria FAQs

      4 questions

      What time is Malaga vs Almeria?

      Kickoff is 14:00 on 21 December 2025, shown in Africa/Lagos.

      Which outcome is shortest on Malaga vs Almeria?

      Almeria is the shortest 1X2 price at 2.5. The margin-adjusted share is about 37.9%.

      What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

      Over 2.5 is 1.95 and under 2.5 is 1.85.

      Do both teams score on this match?

      Both teams to score is priced at 1.67. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.