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Malaga vs Burgos Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Spain · Segunda DivisiónFri, 23 Jan 2026

Malaga

WWWWW

Fri, 23 Jan 202620:30

3 : 0

Full time

Burgos

WLLWW

Pre-match win probability

46%Malaga31%Draw23%Burgos

Our prediction

Home · Malaga

Malaga vs Burgos listed tip from the board.

Odds1.95
Confidence46%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Malaga 46%
  • Draw 31%
  • Burgos 23%

Season statistics

Segunda División · highlighted side is stronger

MalagaBurgos
Goals scored (avg)
–1.3
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
–1

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Malaga0W 0D 0L in last 0
    Burgos5W 2D 3L in last 10
    • 26 OctFC Andorra2 – 3BurgosW
    • 18 OctBurgos1 – 0SabadellW
    • 12 OctBurgos0 – 1Granada CFL
    • 3 OctAlmeria2 – 1BurgosL
    • 27 SeptBurgos1 – 0EldenseW
    H2H
    Head to headNo previous meetings found between these sides.

    Betting markets

    Bookmaker prices with margin removed

    Goal lineOverUnder
    0.5 goals21.3% · 1.113.6% · 6.5
    1.5 goals15.7% · 1.59.4% · 2.5
    2.5 goals9.1% · 2.615.9% · 1.48
    3.5 goals4.7% · 520.2% · 1.17

    Both teams to score

    Yes42.4%
    No57.6%

    Double chance

    1X58.6%
    X241.4%

    Match result

    Malaga1.95
    Draw2.9
    Burgos3.9

    Both teams to score

    Yes42.4% · 2.2
    No57.6% · 1.62

    1X

    Chance58.6%
    Odds1.22

    X2

    Chance41.4%
    Odds1.73

    Malaga

    Chance46%
    Odds1.95

    Draw

    Chance31%
    Odds2.9

    Burgos

    Chance23%
    Odds3.9

    No half-time prices stored.

    No corner prices stored.

    Model comparison

    Our pick: Home at 1.95

    MalagaBurgos
    Recent form6%94%
    Attack43%57%
    Defence33%67%
    Goals model43%57%
    Overall67%33%

    Trends

    Trend · Segunda División

    Burgos scored 1.3 per game in the last 10.

    Trend · Segunda División

    Burgos conceded 1 per game in the last 10.

    Trend · Segunda División

    Failed to score in 3 of those 10.

    Trend · Segunda División

    Kept a clean sheet in 3 of those 10.

    Malaga vs Burgos: prediction & preview

    Spain · Segunda División · Fri, 23 Jan 2026

    Malaga meet Burgos in the Spain, Segunda División on 23 January 2026 at 20:30 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 3–0.

    On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Malaga at 1.95. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 46% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

    The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.48, about 63.7% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on No at 1.62.

    Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

    Malaga vs Burgos FAQs

    4 questions

    What time is Malaga vs Burgos?

    Kickoff is 20:30 on 23 January 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

    Which outcome is shortest on Malaga vs Burgos?

    Malaga is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.95. The margin-adjusted share is about 46%.

    What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

    Over 2.5 is 2.6 and under 2.5 is 1.48.

    Do both teams score on this match?

    Both teams to score is priced at 2.2. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.