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Malaga vs Castellón Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Spain · Segunda DivisiónSat, 25 Apr 2026

Malaga

LWDDD

Sat, 25 Apr 202620:00

2 : 3

Full time

Castellón

WDWWD

Pre-match win probability

31.4%Malaga28.5%Draw40.1%Castellón

Our prediction

Away or Draw · Malaga

Malaga vs Castellón listed tip from the board.

Odds1.36
Confidence40.1%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Malaga 31.4%
  • Draw 28.5%
  • Castellón 40.1%

Season statistics

Segunda División · highlighted side is stronger

MalagaCastellón

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22.9% · 1.031.6% · 15
1.5 goals20.2% · 1.174.7% · 5
2.5 goals15% · 1.5710% · 2.35
3.5 goals10.5% · 2.2515% · 1.57

Both teams to score

Yes64.5%
No35.5%

Double chance

1X47.1%
X252.9%

Match result

Malaga3
Draw3.3
Castellón2.35

Both teams to score

Yes64.5% · 1.44
No35.5% · 2.62

1X

Chance47.1%
Odds1.53

X2

Chance52.9%
Odds1.36

Malaga

Chance31.4%
Odds3

Draw

Chance28.5%
Odds3.3

Castellón

Chance40.1%
Odds2.35

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Away or Draw at 1.36

MalagaCastellón
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall44%56%

Malaga vs Castellón: prediction & preview

Spain · Segunda División · Sat, 25 Apr 2026

Malaga meet Castellón in the Spain, Segunda División on 25 April 2026 at 20:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 2–3.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Castellón at 2.35. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 40.1% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.57, about 59.9% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.44.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Malaga vs Castellón FAQs

4 questions

What time is Malaga vs Castellón?

Kickoff is 20:00 on 25 April 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Malaga vs Castellón?

Castellón is the shortest 1X2 price at 2.35. The margin-adjusted share is about 40.1%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.57 and under 2.5 is 2.35.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.44. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Malaga vs Castellón prediction, H2H and stats