Malaga vs Las Palmas Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Malaga

DDDWW

Sat, 11 Apr 202617:30

2 : 0

Full time

Las Palmas

WWLWL

Pre-match win probability

39.1%Malaga30%Draw31%Las Palmas

Our prediction

1X · Malaga

Malaga vs Las Palmas listed tip from the board.

Odds1.36
Confidence39.1%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Malaga 39.1%
  • Draw 30%
  • Las Palmas 31%

Season statistics

Segunda División · highlighted side is stronger

MalagaLas Palmas

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22.3% · 1.062.5% · 9.5
1.5 goals18.4% · 1.286.7% · 3.5
2.5 goals11.8% · 213.1% · 1.8
3.5 goals6.9% · 3.418.2% · 1.3

Both teams to score

Yes53.6%
No46.4%

Double chance

1X52.9%
X247.1%

Match result

Malaga2.3
Draw3
Las Palmas2.9

Both teams to score

Yes53.6% · 1.73
No46.4% · 2

1X

Chance52.9%
Odds1.36

X2

Chance47.1%
Odds1.53

Malaga

Chance39.1%
Odds2.3

Draw

Chance30%
Odds3

Las Palmas

Chance31%
Odds2.9

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: 1X at 1.36

MalagaLas Palmas
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall56%44%

Malaga vs Las Palmas: prediction & preview

Spain · Segunda División · Sat, 11 Apr 2026

Malaga meet Las Palmas in the Spain, Segunda División on 11 April 2026 at 17:30 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 2–0.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Malaga at 2.3. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 39.1% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.8, about 52.6% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.73.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Malaga vs Las Palmas FAQs

4 questions

What time is Malaga vs Las Palmas?

Kickoff is 17:30 on 11 April 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Malaga vs Las Palmas?

Malaga is the shortest 1X2 price at 2.3. The margin-adjusted share is about 39.1%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 2 and under 2.5 is 1.8.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.73. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Malaga vs Las Palmas prediction, H2H and stats