Mali vs Senegal Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Mali

DDDDD

Fri, 9 Jan 202617:00

0 : 1

Full time

Senegal

WWDWW

Pre-match win probability

13.6%Mali27.9%Draw58.6%Senegal

Our prediction

Away · Mali

Mali vs Senegal listed tip from the board.

Odds1.62
Confidence58.6%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Mali 13.6%
  • Draw 27.9%
  • Senegal 58.6%

Season statistics

Africa Cup of Nations · highlighted side is stronger

MaliSenegal

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals21% · 1.123.9% · 6
1.5 goals15.4% · 1.539.9% · 2.38
2.5 goals8.7% · 2.716.3% · 1.44
3.5 goals4.3% · 5.520.6% · 1.14

Both teams to score

Yes35.5%
No64.5%

Double chance

1X32.8%
X267.2%

Match result

Mali7
Draw3.4
Senegal1.62

Both teams to score

Yes35.5% · 2.62
No64.5% · 1.44

1X

Chance32.8%
Odds2.25

X2

Chance67.2%
Odds1.1

Mali

Chance13.6%
Odds7

Draw

Chance27.9%
Odds3.4

Senegal

Chance58.6%
Odds1.62

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Away at 1.62

MaliSenegal
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall19%81%

Mali vs Senegal: prediction & preview

World · Africa Cup of Nations · Fri, 9 Jan 2026

Mali meet Senegal in the World, Africa Cup of Nations on 9 January 2026 at 17:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 0–1.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Senegal at 1.62. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 58.6% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.44, about 65.2% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on No at 1.44.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Mali vs Senegal FAQs

4 questions

What time is Mali vs Senegal?

Kickoff is 17:00 on 9 January 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Mali vs Senegal?

Senegal is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.62. The margin-adjusted share is about 58.6%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 2.7 and under 2.5 is 1.44.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 2.62. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Mali vs Senegal prediction, H2H and stats