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Mali vs Tunisia Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

World · Africa Cup of NationsSat, 3 Jan 2026

Mali

Sat, 3 Jan 202620:00

vs

Not started

Tunisia

Pre-match win probability

30.9%Mali34.2%Draw34.9%Tunisia

Our prediction

Tunisia

Tunisia is the shortest 1X2 price in the stored market.

Odds2.75
Confidence34.9%
ResultPending
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Mali 30.9%
  • Draw 34.2%
  • Tunisia 34.9%

Season statistics

Africa Cup of Nations · highlighted side is stronger

MaliTunisia

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals20.6% · 1.144.3% · 5.5
1.5 goals15% · 1.5710.4% · 2.25
2.5 goals7.6% · 3.117.3% · 1.36
3.5 goals3.9% · 621% · 1.12

Both teams to score

Yes41.1%
No58.9%

Double chance

1X49.3%
X250.7%

Match result

Mali3.1
Draw2.8
Tunisia2.75

Both teams to score

Yes41.1% · 2.25
No58.9% · 1.57

1X

Chance49.3%
Odds1.4

X2

Chance50.7%
Odds1.36

Mali

Chance30.9%
Odds3.1

Draw

Chance34.2%
Odds2.8

Tunisia

Chance34.9%
Odds2.75

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Tunisia at 2.75

MaliTunisia
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall47%53%

Mali vs Tunisia: prediction & preview

World · Africa Cup of Nations · Sat, 3 Jan 2026

Mali meet Tunisia in the World, Africa Cup of Nations on 3 January 2026 at 20:00 (Africa/Lagos). The numbers below are pre-match prices and team rates. They describe the match. They do not promise a result.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Tunisia at 2.75. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 34.9% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.36, about 69.5% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on No at 1.57.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Mali vs Tunisia FAQs

4 questions

What time is Mali vs Tunisia?

Kickoff is 20:00 on 3 January 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Mali vs Tunisia?

Tunisia is the shortest 1X2 price at 2.75. The margin-adjusted share is about 34.9%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 3.1 and under 2.5 is 1.36.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 2.25. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Mali vs Tunisia prediction, H2H and stats