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Mallorca vs Real Madrid Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Spain · La LigaSat, 4 Apr 2026

Mallorca

LDWDD

Sat, 4 Apr 202615:15

2 : 1

Full time

Real Madrid

WWWWW

Pre-match win probability

16.6%Mallorca21.2%Draw62.3%Real Madrid

Our prediction

Away · Mallorca

Mallorca vs Real Madrid listed tip from the board.

Odds1.53
Confidence62.3%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Mallorca 16.6%
  • Draw 21.2%
  • Real Madrid 62.3%

Season statistics

La Liga · 10 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

MallorcaReal Madrid
Goals scored (avg)
1.12.5
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
0.61.3

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Mallorca4W 4D 2L in last 10
  • 24 OctLeganes1 – 1MallorcaD
  • 17 OctEibar1 – 1MallorcaD
  • 11 OctMallorca3 – 1Las PalmasW
  • 4 OctGirona0 – 0MallorcaD
  • 27 SeptMallorca0 – 1AlmeriaL
Real Madrid8W 0D 2L in last 10
  • 25 OctBarcelona1 – 2Real MadridW
  • 21 OctReal Madrid4 – 1RB LeipzigW
  • 18 OctReal Madrid4 – 1SevillaW
  • 14 OctAS Roma3 – 4Real MadridW
  • 10 OctReal Madrid1 – 0VillarrealW
H2H
Head to headNo previous meetings found between these sides.

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals23.1% · 1.031.6% · 15
1.5 goals19.8% · 1.25.3% · 4.5
2.5 goals14.7% · 1.6210.4% · 2.3
3.5 goals9.5% · 2.515.6% · 1.53

Both teams to score

Yes54.7%
No45.3%

Double chance

1X32.4%
X267.6%

Match result

Mallorca5.75
Draw4.5
Real Madrid1.53

Both teams to score

Yes54.7% · 1.7
No45.3% · 2.05

1X

Chance32.4%
Odds2.38

X2

Chance67.6%
Odds1.14

Mallorca

Chance16.6%
Odds5.75

Draw

Chance21.2%
Odds4.5

Real Madrid

Chance62.3%
Odds1.53

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Away at 1.53

MallorcaReal Madrid
Recent form40%60%
Attack31%69%
Defence59%41%
Goals model31%69%
Overall21%79%

Trends

Trend · La Liga

Mallorca scored 1.1 per game in the last 10.

Trend · La Liga

Mallorca conceded 0.6 per game in the last 10.

Trend · La Liga

Failed to score in 4 of those 10.

Trend · La Liga

Kept a clean sheet in 5 of those 10.

Mallorca vs Real Madrid: prediction & preview

Spain · La Liga · Sat, 4 Apr 2026

Mallorca meet Real Madrid in the Spain, La Liga on 4 April 2026 at 15:15 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 2–1.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Real Madrid at 1.53. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 62.3% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.62, about 58.7% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.7.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Mallorca vs Real Madrid FAQs

4 questions

What time is Mallorca vs Real Madrid?

Kickoff is 15:15 on 4 April 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Mallorca vs Real Madrid?

Real Madrid is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.53. The margin-adjusted share is about 62.3%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.62 and under 2.5 is 2.3.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.7. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.