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Malta vs Gibraltar Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

World · UEFA Nations LeagueThu, 1 Oct 2026

Malta

Thu, 1 Oct 202619:45

1 : 1

Full time

Gibraltar

Pre-match win probability

72.3%Malta18.5%Draw9.2%Gibraltar

Our prediction

Malta

Malta is the shortest 1X2 price in the stored market.

Odds1.28
Confidence72.3%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Malta 72.3%
  • Draw 18.5%
  • Gibraltar 9.2%

Season statistics

UEFA Nations League · highlighted side is stronger

MaltaGibraltar

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22.8% · 1.032.5% · 9.5
1.5 goals18% · 1.36.9% · 3.4
2.5 goals11.7% · 213% · 1.8
3.5 goals6.7% · 3.518.3% · 1.28

Both teams to score

Yes33.7%
No66.3%

Double chance

1X77.3%
X222.7%

Match result

Malta1.28
Draw5
Gibraltar10

Both teams to score

Yes33.7% · 2.75
No66.3% · 1.4

1X

Chance77.3%
Odds1.03

X2

Chance22.7%
Odds3.5

Malta

Chance72.3%
Odds1.28

Draw

Chance18.5%
Odds5

Gibraltar

Chance9.2%
Odds10

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Malta at 1.28

MaltaGibraltar
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall89%11%

Malta vs Gibraltar: prediction & preview

World · UEFA Nations League · Thu, 1 Oct 2026

Malta meet Gibraltar in the World, UEFA Nations League on 1 October 2026 at 19:45 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 1–1.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Malta at 1.28. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 72.3% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.8, about 52.6% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on No at 1.4.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Malta vs Gibraltar FAQs

4 questions

What time is Malta vs Gibraltar?

Kickoff is 19:45 on 1 October 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Malta vs Gibraltar?

Malta is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.28. The margin-adjusted share is about 72.3%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 2 and under 2.5 is 1.8.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 2.75. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Malta vs Gibraltar prediction, H2H and stats