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Mamelodi Sundowns vs Golden Arrows Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

South-Africa · Premier Soccer LeagueWed, 4 Mar 2026

Mamelodi Sundowns

WWLWW

Wed, 4 Mar 202618:30

2 : 1

Full time

Golden Arrows

DWWWD

Pre-match win probability

77.2%Mamelodi Sundowns15.2%Draw7.6%Golden Arrows

Our prediction

Home · Mamelodi Sundowns

Mamelodi Sundowns vs Golden Arrows listed tip from the board.

Odds1.18
Confidence77.2%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Mamelodi Sundowns 77.2%
  • Draw 15.2%
  • Golden Arrows 7.6%

Season statistics

Premier Soccer League · highlighted side is stronger

Mamelodi SundownsGolden Arrows

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22.7% · 1.032.3% · 10
1.5 goals19.1% · 1.225.8% · 4
2.5 goals13.7% · 1.711.1% · 2.1
3.5 goals8.5% · 2.7516.7% · 1.4

Both teams to score

Yes33.7%
No66.3%

Double chance

1X79%
X221%

Match result

Mamelodi Sundowns1.18
Draw6
Golden Arrows12

Both teams to score

Yes33.7% · 2.75
No66.3% · 1.4

1X

Chance79%
Odds1.01

X2

Chance21%
Odds3.8

Mamelodi Sundowns

Chance77.2%
Odds1.18

Draw

Chance15.2%
Odds6

Golden Arrows

Chance7.6%
Odds12

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Home at 1.18

Mamelodi SundownsGolden Arrows
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall91%9%

Mamelodi Sundowns vs Golden Arrows: prediction & preview

South-Africa · Premier Soccer League · Wed, 4 Mar 2026

Mamelodi Sundowns meet Golden Arrows in the South-Africa, Premier Soccer League on 4 March 2026 at 18:30 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 2–1.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Mamelodi Sundowns at 1.18. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 77.2% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.7, about 55.3% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on No at 1.4.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Mamelodi Sundowns vs Golden Arrows FAQs

4 questions

What time is Mamelodi Sundowns vs Golden Arrows?

Kickoff is 18:30 on 4 March 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Mamelodi Sundowns vs Golden Arrows?

Mamelodi Sundowns is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.18. The margin-adjusted share is about 77.2%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.7 and under 2.5 is 2.1.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 2.75. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.