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Mamelodi Sundowns vs Kaizer Chiefs Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

South-Africa · Premier Soccer LeagueWed, 6 May 2026

Mamelodi Sundowns

WWDDW

Wed, 6 May 202618:30

1 : 1

Full time

Kaizer Chiefs

LDDWW

Pre-match win probability

60.6%Mamelodi Sundowns25.6%Draw13.8%Kaizer Chiefs

Our prediction

1X · Mamelodi Sundowns

Mamelodi Sundowns vs Kaizer Chiefs listed tip from the board.

Odds1.08
Confidence60.6%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Mamelodi Sundowns 60.6%
  • Draw 25.6%
  • Kaizer Chiefs 13.8%

Season statistics

Premier Soccer League · highlighted side is stronger

Mamelodi SundownsKaizer Chiefs

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals21.9% · 1.073.1% · 7.5
1.5 goals16.7% · 1.48.5% · 2.75
2.5 goals10.6% · 2.214.2% · 1.65
3.5 goals5.8% · 419.2% · 1.22

Both teams to score

Yes39.1%
No60.9%

Double chance

1X68%
X232%

Match result

Mamelodi Sundowns1.48
Draw3.5
Kaizer Chiefs6.5

Both teams to score

Yes39.1% · 2.38
No60.9% · 1.53

1X

Chance68%
Odds1.08

X2

Chance32%
Odds2.3

Mamelodi Sundowns

Chance60.6%
Odds1.48

Draw

Chance25.6%
Odds3.5

Kaizer Chiefs

Chance13.8%
Odds6.5

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: 1X at 1.08

Mamelodi SundownsKaizer Chiefs
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall81%19%

Mamelodi Sundowns vs Kaizer Chiefs: prediction & preview

South-Africa · Premier Soccer League · Wed, 6 May 2026

Mamelodi Sundowns meet Kaizer Chiefs in the South-Africa, Premier Soccer League on 6 May 2026 at 18:30 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 1–1.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Mamelodi Sundowns at 1.48. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 60.6% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.65, about 57.1% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on No at 1.53.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Mamelodi Sundowns vs Kaizer Chiefs FAQs

4 questions

What time is Mamelodi Sundowns vs Kaizer Chiefs?

Kickoff is 18:30 on 6 May 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Mamelodi Sundowns vs Kaizer Chiefs?

Mamelodi Sundowns is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.48. The margin-adjusted share is about 60.6%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 2.2 and under 2.5 is 1.65.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 2.38. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Mamelodi Sundowns vs Kaizer Chiefs prediction, H2H and stats