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Manchester City vs Aston Villa Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

England · Premier LeagueSun, 24 May 2026

Manchester City

DWWWD

Sun, 24 May 202616:00

1 : 2

Full time

Aston Villa

WWDWL

Pre-match win probability

71.4%Manchester City18.1%Draw10.5%Aston Villa

Our prediction

Home or Draw · Manchester City

Manchester City vs Aston Villa listed tip from the board.

Odds1.07
Confidence71.4%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Manchester City 71.4%
  • Draw 18.1%
  • Aston Villa 10.5%

Season statistics

Premier League · highlighted side is stronger

Manchester CityAston Villa

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals23.6% · 1.011% · 23
1.5 goals22.1% · 1.083% · 8
2.5 goals18.3% · 1.36.8% · 3.5
3.5 goals13.2% · 1.811.9% · 2

Both teams to score

Yes60.9%
No39.1%

Double chance

1X76.1%
X223.9%

Match result

Manchester City1.33
Draw5.25
Aston Villa9

Both teams to score

Yes60.9% · 1.53
No39.1% · 2.38

1X

Chance76.1%
Odds1.07

X2

Chance23.9%
Odds3.4

Manchester City

Chance71.4%
Odds1.33

Draw

Chance18.1%
Odds5.25

Aston Villa

Chance10.5%
Odds9

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Home or Draw at 1.07

Manchester CityAston Villa
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall87%13%

Manchester City vs Aston Villa: prediction & preview

England · Premier League · Sun, 24 May 2026

Manchester City meet Aston Villa in the England, Premier League on 24 May 2026 at 16:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 1–2.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Manchester City at 1.33. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 71.4% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.3, about 72.9% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.53.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Manchester City vs Aston Villa FAQs

4 questions

What time is Manchester City vs Aston Villa?

Kickoff is 16:00 on 24 May 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Manchester City vs Aston Villa?

Manchester City is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.33. The margin-adjusted share is about 71.4%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.3 and under 2.5 is 3.5.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.53. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Manchester City vs Aston Villa prediction, H2H and stats