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Manchester City vs Brighton Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

England · Premier LeagueWed, 7 Jan 2026

Manchester City

2nd in table · 78 pts

LWWLD

Wed, 7 Jan 202620:30

1 : 1

Full time

Brighton

8th in table · 53 pts

WDLDL

Pre-match win probability

62.5%Manchester City20.1%Draw17.4%Brighton

Our prediction

Home · Manchester City

Manchester City vs Brighton listed tip from the board.

Odds1.53
Confidence62.5%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Manchester City 62.5%
  • Draw 20.1%
  • Brighton 17.4%

Season statistics

Premier League · 10 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

Manchester CityBrighton
Goals scored (avg)
2.9–
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
1.4–
Wins
2314
Played
3838

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Manchester City7W 1D 2L in last 10
  • 28 OctManchester City2 – 2BrightonD
  • 24 OctAston Villa2 – 1Manchester CityL
  • 20 OctManchester City5 – 1AEK Athens FCW
  • 17 OctManchester City3 – 2IpswichW
  • 14 OctManchester City2 – 4Paris Saint GermainL
Brighton0W 0D 0L in last 0
    H2H
    Head to headManchester City 4W · 3D · Brighton 2W · 3.3 goals a game
    • 28 OctManchester City2 – 2Brighton
    • 31 AugBrighton2 – 1Manchester City
    • 15 MarManchester City2 – 2Brighton
    • 9 NovBrighton2 – 1Manchester City
    • 25 AprBrighton0 – 4Manchester City
    • 21 OctManchester City2 – 1Brighton

    Betting markets

    Bookmaker prices with margin removed

    Goal lineOverUnder
    0.5 goals23.6% · 1.011% · 23
    1.5 goals21.5% · 1.113.7% · 6.5
    2.5 goals17% · 1.48% · 3
    3.5 goals11.9% · 213.3% · 1.8

    Both teams to score

    Yes62.5%
    No37.5%

    Double chance

    1X67.6%
    X232.4%

    Match result

    Manchester City1.53
    Draw4.75
    Brighton5.5

    Both teams to score

    Yes62.5% · 1.5
    No37.5% · 2.5

    1X

    Chance67.6%
    Odds1.14

    X2

    Chance32.4%
    Odds2.38

    Manchester City

    Chance62.5%
    Odds1.53

    Draw

    Chance20.1%
    Odds4.75

    Brighton

    Chance17.4%
    Odds5.5

    No half-time prices stored.

    No corner prices stored.

    Model comparison

    Our pick: Home at 1.53

    Manchester CityBrighton
    Recent form96%4%
    Attack74%26%
    Defence62%38%
    Goals model74%26%
    Head-to-head61%39%
    Overall78%22%

    Trends

    Trend · Premier League

    Manchester City scored 2.9 per game in the last 10.

    Trend · Premier League

    Manchester City conceded 1.4 per game in the last 10.

    Trend · Premier League

    Kept a clean sheet in 4 of those 10.

    Trend · Premier League

    Over 2.5 goals in 8 of those 10.

    Manchester City vs Brighton: prediction & preview

    England · Premier League · Wed, 7 Jan 2026

    Manchester City meet Brighton in the England, Premier League on 7 January 2026 at 20:30 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 1–1.

    On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Manchester City at 1.53. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 62.5% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

    The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.4, about 68.2% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.5.

    Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

    Manchester City vs Brighton FAQs

    4 questions

    What time is Manchester City vs Brighton?

    Kickoff is 20:30 on 7 January 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

    Which outcome is shortest on Manchester City vs Brighton?

    Manchester City is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.53. The margin-adjusted share is about 62.5%.

    What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

    Over 2.5 is 1.4 and under 2.5 is 3.

    Do both teams score on this match?

    Both teams to score is priced at 1.5. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.