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Manchester City vs Southampton Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

England · FA CupSat, 25 Apr 2026

Manchester City

Sat, 25 Apr 202617:15

2 : 1

Full time

Southampton

Pre-match win probability

75.6%Manchester City15.8%Draw8.6%Southampton

Our prediction

Home · Manchester City

Manchester City vs Southampton listed tip from the board.

Odds1.25
Confidence75.6%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Manchester City 75.6%
  • Draw 15.8%
  • Southampton 8.6%

Season statistics

FA Cup · highlighted side is stronger

Manchester CitySouthampton

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals23.4% · 1.011.1% · 21
1.5 goals21.1% · 1.123.9% · 6
2.5 goals15.5% · 1.539.5% · 2.5
3.5 goals11.3% · 2.114.2% · 1.67

Both teams to score

Yes46.7%
No53.3%

Double chance

1X78%
X222%

Match result

Manchester City1.25
Draw6
Southampton11

Both teams to score

Yes46.7% · 2
No53.3% · 1.75

1X

Chance78%
Odds1.06

X2

Chance22%
Odds3.75

Manchester City

Chance75.6%
Odds1.25

Draw

Chance15.8%
Odds6

Southampton

Chance8.6%
Odds11

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Home at 1.25

Manchester CitySouthampton
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall90%10%

Manchester City vs Southampton: prediction & preview

England · FA Cup · Sat, 25 Apr 2026

Manchester City meet Southampton in the England, FA Cup on 25 April 2026 at 17:15 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 2–1.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Manchester City at 1.25. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 75.6% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.53, about 62% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on No at 1.75.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Manchester City vs Southampton FAQs

4 questions

What time is Manchester City vs Southampton?

Kickoff is 17:15 on 25 April 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Manchester City vs Southampton?

Manchester City is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.25. The margin-adjusted share is about 75.6%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.53 and under 2.5 is 2.5.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 2. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Manchester City vs Southampton prediction, H2H and stats