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Manchester United vs Aston Villa Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

England · Premier LeagueSun, 15 Mar 2026

Manchester United

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Sun, 15 Mar 202615:00

3 : 1

Full time

Aston Villa

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Pre-match win probability

55.7%Manchester United23.7%Draw20.6%Aston Villa

Our prediction

Home · Manchester United

Manchester United vs Aston Villa listed tip from the board.

Odds1.7
Confidence55.7%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Manchester United 55.7%
  • Draw 23.7%
  • Aston Villa 20.6%

Season statistics

Premier League · highlighted side is stronger

Manchester UnitedAston Villa

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22.9% · 1.041.8% · 13
1.5 goals19.9% · 1.25.3% · 4.5
2.5 goals14.3% · 1.6710.8% · 2.2
3.5 goals9.1% · 2.6215.9% · 1.5

Both teams to score

Yes55.7%
No44.3%

Double chance

1X64%
X236%

Match result

Manchester United1.7
Draw4
Aston Villa4.6

Both teams to score

Yes55.7% · 1.67
No44.3% · 2.1

1X

Chance64%
Odds1.18

X2

Chance36%
Odds2.1

Manchester United

Chance55.7%
Odds1.7

Draw

Chance23.7%
Odds4

Aston Villa

Chance20.6%
Odds4.6

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Home at 1.7

Manchester UnitedAston Villa
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall73%27%

Manchester United vs Aston Villa: prediction & preview

England · Premier League · Sun, 15 Mar 2026

Manchester United meet Aston Villa in the England, Premier League on 15 March 2026 at 15:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 3–1.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Manchester United at 1.7. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 55.7% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.67, about 56.8% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.67.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Manchester United vs Aston Villa FAQs

4 questions

What time is Manchester United vs Aston Villa?

Kickoff is 15:00 on 15 March 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Manchester United vs Aston Villa?

Manchester United is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.7. The margin-adjusted share is about 55.7%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.67 and under 2.5 is 2.2.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.67. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Manchester United vs Aston Villa prediction, H2H and stats