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Manchester United vs Atletico Madrid Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

World · Friendlies ClubsSat, 1 Aug 2026

Manchester United

Sat, 1 Aug 202614:00

2 : 1

Full time

Atletico Madrid

Pre-match win probability

44.8%Manchester United25.5%Draw29.6%Atletico Madrid

Our prediction

Manchester United

Manchester United is the shortest 1X2 price in the stored market.

Odds2.05
Confidence44.8%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Manchester United 44.8%
  • Draw 25.5%
  • Atletico Madrid 29.6%

Season statistics

Friendlies Clubs · highlighted side is stronger

Manchester UnitedAtletico Madrid

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals23.2% · 1.011.6% · 15
1.5 goals20% · 1.175.2% · 4.5
2.5 goals14.6% · 1.610.2% · 2.3
3.5 goals9.8% · 2.3815.3% · 1.53

Both teams to score

Yes60.9%
No39.1%

Double chance

1X49.5%
X250.5%

Match result

Manchester United2.05
Draw3.6
Atletico Madrid3.1

Both teams to score

Yes60.9% · 1.53
No39.1% · 2.38

1X

Chance49.5%
Odds1.53

X2

Chance50.5%
Odds1.5

Manchester United

Chance44.8%
Odds2.05

Draw

Chance25.5%
Odds3.6

Atletico Madrid

Chance29.6%
Odds3.1

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Manchester United at 2.05

Manchester UnitedAtletico Madrid
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall60%40%

Manchester United vs Atletico Madrid: prediction & preview

World · Friendlies Clubs · Sat, 1 Aug 2026

Manchester United meet Atletico Madrid in the World, Friendlies Clubs on 1 August 2026 at 14:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 2–1.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Manchester United at 2.05. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 44.8% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.6, about 59% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.53.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Manchester United vs Atletico Madrid FAQs

4 questions

What time is Manchester United vs Atletico Madrid?

Kickoff is 14:00 on 1 August 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Manchester United vs Atletico Madrid?

Manchester United is the shortest 1X2 price at 2.05. The margin-adjusted share is about 44.8%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.6 and under 2.5 is 2.3.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.53. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Manchester United vs Atletico Madrid prediction, H2H and stats