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Manchester United vs Liverpool Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

England · Premier LeagueSun, 3 May 2026

Manchester United

WWLDW

Sun, 3 May 202615:30

3 : 2

Full time

Liverpool

WWLWL

Pre-match win probability

41.2%Manchester United24.9%Draw33.8%Liverpool

Our prediction

Draw · Manchester United

Manchester United vs Liverpool listed tip from the board.

Odds3.8
Confidence41.2%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Manchester United 41.2%
  • Draw 24.9%
  • Liverpool 33.8%

Season statistics

Premier League · highlighted side is stronger

Manchester UnitedLiverpool

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals23.3% · 1.021.4% · 17
1.5 goals20.9% · 1.144.3% · 5.5
2.5 goals15.9% · 1.59.1% · 2.62
3.5 goals11.3% · 2.113.8% · 1.73

Both teams to score

Yes64.5%
No35.5%

Double chance

1X54.4%
X245.6%

Match result

Manchester United2.3
Draw3.8
Liverpool2.8

Both teams to score

Yes64.5% · 1.44
No35.5% · 2.62

1X

Chance54.4%
Odds1.4

X2

Chance45.6%
Odds1.67

Manchester United

Chance41.2%
Odds2.3

Draw

Chance24.9%
Odds3.8

Liverpool

Chance33.8%
Odds2.8

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Draw at 3.8

Manchester UnitedLiverpool
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall55%45%

Manchester United vs Liverpool: prediction & preview

England · Premier League · Sun, 3 May 2026

Manchester United meet Liverpool in the England, Premier League on 3 May 2026 at 15:30 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 3–2.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Manchester United at 2.3. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 41.2% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.5, about 63.6% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.44.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Manchester United vs Liverpool FAQs

4 questions

What time is Manchester United vs Liverpool?

Kickoff is 15:30 on 3 May 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Manchester United vs Liverpool?

Manchester United is the shortest 1X2 price at 2.3. The margin-adjusted share is about 41.2%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.5 and under 2.5 is 2.62.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.44. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Manchester United vs Liverpool prediction, H2H and stats