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Manchester United vs Manchester City Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

England · Premier LeagueSat, 17 Jan 2026

Manchester United

LDDDW

Sat, 17 Jan 202613:30

2 : 0

Full time

Manchester City

WWDDD

Pre-match win probability

31.2%Manchester United25.3%Draw43.5%Manchester City

Our prediction

Away · Manchester United

Manchester United vs Manchester City listed tip from the board.

Odds2.15
Confidence43.5%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Manchester United 31.2%
  • Draw 25.3%
  • Manchester City 43.5%

Season statistics

Premier League · highlighted side is stronger

Manchester UnitedManchester City

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals23.3% · 1.021.4% · 17
1.5 goals20.9% · 1.144.3% · 5.5
2.5 goals15.9% · 1.59.1% · 2.62
3.5 goals10.8% · 2.214.3% · 1.67

Both teams to score

Yes64.5%
No35.5%

Double chance

1X41.6%
X258.4%

Match result

Manchester United3
Draw3.7
Manchester City2.15

Both teams to score

Yes64.5% · 1.44
No35.5% · 2.62

1X

Chance41.6%
Odds1.8

X2

Chance58.4%
Odds1.28

Manchester United

Chance31.2%
Odds3

Draw

Chance25.3%
Odds3.7

Manchester City

Chance43.5%
Odds2.15

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Away at 2.15

Manchester UnitedManchester City
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall42%58%

Manchester United vs Manchester City: prediction & preview

England · Premier League · Sat, 17 Jan 2026

Manchester United meet Manchester City in the England, Premier League on 17 January 2026 at 13:30 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 2–0.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Manchester City at 2.15. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 43.5% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.5, about 63.6% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.44.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Manchester United vs Manchester City FAQs

4 questions

What time is Manchester United vs Manchester City?

Kickoff is 13:30 on 17 January 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Manchester United vs Manchester City?

Manchester City is the shortest 1X2 price at 2.15. The margin-adjusted share is about 43.5%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.5 and under 2.5 is 2.62.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.44. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Manchester United vs Manchester City prediction, H2H and stats