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Manchester United vs Manchester City Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

England · Premier LeagueSun, 13 Sept 2026

Manchester United

DLDLL

Sun, 13 Sept 202616:30

0 : 1

Full time

Manchester City

WLWWL

Pre-match win probability

31.6%Manchester United25.3%Draw43.1%Manchester City

Our prediction

BTTS Yes · Manchester United

Manchester United vs Manchester City listed tip from the board.

Odds2.2
Confidence43.1%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Manchester United 31.6%
  • Draw 25.3%
  • Manchester City 43.1%

Season statistics

Premier League · 9 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

Manchester UnitedManchester City
Goals scored (avg)
1.33
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
1.91.3

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Manchester United1W 4D 4L in last 9
  • 25 OctManchester United0 – 3BournemouthL
  • 21 OctComo4 – 1Manchester UnitedL
  • 18 OctLeeds1 – 1Manchester UnitedD
  • 13 OctAtletico Madrid2 – 0Manchester UnitedL
  • 10 OctManchester United1 – 1TottenhamD
Manchester City7W 0D 2L in last 9
  • 24 OctAston Villa2 – 1Manchester CityL
  • 20 OctManchester City5 – 1AEK Athens FCW
  • 17 OctManchester City3 – 2IpswichW
  • 14 OctManchester City2 – 4Paris Saint GermainL
  • 11 OctLiverpool0 – 3Manchester CityW
H2H
Head to headNo previous meetings found between these sides.

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals23.1% · 1.031.6% · 15
1.5 goals20.4% · 1.174.8% · 5
2.5 goals15.6% · 1.539.5% · 2.5
3.5 goals10.4% · 2.314.7% · 1.62

Both teams to score

Yes64.5%
No35.5%

Double chance

1X44.9%
X255.1%

Match result

Manchester United3
Draw3.75
Manchester City2.2

Both teams to score

Yes64.5% · 1.44
No35.5% · 2.62

1X

Chance44.9%
Odds1.67

X2

Chance55.1%
Odds1.36

Manchester United

Chance31.6%
Odds3

Draw

Chance25.3%
Odds3.75

Manchester City

Chance43.1%
Odds2.2

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: BTTS Yes at 2.2

Manchester UnitedManchester City
Recent form25%75%
Attack30%70%
Defence39%61%
Goals model30%70%
Overall42%58%

Trends

Trend · Premier League

Manchester United scored 1.3 per game in the last 9.

Trend · Premier League

Manchester United conceded 1.9 per game in the last 9.

Trend · Premier League

Failed to score in 2 of those 9.

Trend · Premier League

Kept a clean sheet in 1 of those 9.

Manchester United vs Manchester City: prediction & preview

England · Premier League · Sun, 13 Sept 2026

Manchester United meet Manchester City in the England, Premier League on 13 September 2026 at 16:30 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 0–1.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Manchester City at 2.2. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 43.1% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.53, about 62% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.44.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Manchester United vs Manchester City FAQs

4 questions

What time is Manchester United vs Manchester City?

Kickoff is 16:30 on 13 September 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Manchester United vs Manchester City?

Manchester City is the shortest 1X2 price at 2.2. The margin-adjusted share is about 43.1%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.53 and under 2.5 is 2.5.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.44. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.