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Mara Sugar vs Sofapaka Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Kenya · FKF Premier LeagueMon, 2 Mar 2026

Mara Sugar

11th in table · 44 pts

LDWDD

Mon, 2 Mar 202612:00

3 : 1

Full time

Sofapaka

18th in table · 19 pts

DLDLL

Pre-match win probability

40.8%Mara Sugar31.2%Draw28%Sofapaka

Our prediction

Mara Sugar

Mara Sugar is the shortest 1X2 price in the stored market.

Odds2.2
Confidence40.8%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Mara Sugar 40.8%
  • Draw 31.2%
  • Sofapaka 28%

Season statistics

FKF Premier League · 6 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

Mara SugarSofapaka
Goals scored (avg)
0.80.4
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
0.81.9
Wins
103
Played
3434

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Mara Sugar1W 4D 1L in last 6
  • 28 OctMara Sugar0 – 0AFC LeopardsD
  • 24 OctUlinzi Stars0 – 0Mara SugarD
  • 19 OctMara Sugar2 – 1Mombasa EliteW
  • 11 Oct3K2 – 2Mara SugarD
  • 31 MayMurang'a SEAL2 – 1Mara SugarL
Sofapaka0W 4D 5L in last 9
  • 31 MayKariobangi Sharks6 – 0SofapakaL
  • 27 MaySofapaka1 – 2KCBL
  • 24 MaySofapaka1 – 1ShabanaD
  • 11 MayPosta Rangers FC3 – 0SofapakaL
  • 2 MaySofapaka2 – 2Mathare UnitedD
H2H
Head to headMara Sugar 0W · 3D · Sofapaka 0W · 2.7 goals a game
  • 28 OctSofapaka2 – 2Mara Sugar
  • 1 MarSofapaka1 – 1Mara Sugar
  • 24 NovMara Sugar1 – 1Sofapaka

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
2.5 goals35.5% · 2.6264.5% · 1.44

Double chance

1X61%
X239%

Match result

Mara Sugar2.2
Draw2.88
Sofapaka3.2

No BTTS prices stored.

1X

Chance61%
Odds1.17

X2

Chance39%
Odds1.83

Mara Sugar

Chance40.8%
Odds2.2

Draw

Chance31.2%
Odds2.88

Sofapaka

Chance28%
Odds3.2

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Mara Sugar at 2.2

Mara SugarSofapaka
Recent form64%36%
Attack67%33%
Defence67%33%
Goals model67%33%
Head-to-head50%50%
Overall59%41%

Trends

Trend · FKF Premier League

Mara Sugar scored 0.8 per game in the last 6.

Trend · FKF Premier League

Mara Sugar conceded 0.8 per game in the last 6.

Trend · FKF Premier League

Failed to score in 3 of those 6.

Trend · FKF Premier League

Kept a clean sheet in 3 of those 6.

Mara Sugar vs Sofapaka: prediction & preview

Kenya · FKF Premier League · Mon, 2 Mar 2026

Mara Sugar meet Sofapaka in the Kenya, FKF Premier League on 2 March 2026 at 12:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 3–1.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Mara Sugar at 2.2. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 40.8% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.44, about 64.5% after the margin).

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Mara Sugar vs Sofapaka FAQs

4 questions

What time is Mara Sugar vs Sofapaka?

Kickoff is 12:00 on 2 March 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Mara Sugar vs Sofapaka?

Mara Sugar is the shortest 1X2 price at 2.2. The margin-adjusted share is about 40.8%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 2.62 and under 2.5 is 1.44.

Do both teams score on this match?

A both-teams-to-score price is not stored for this match.