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Marcílio Dias vs Portuguesa Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Brazil · Serie DSat, 4 Jul 2026

Marcílio Dias

Sat, 4 Jul 202622:00

1 : 1

Full time

Portuguesa

Pre-match win probability

31.9%Marcílio Dias32.4%Draw35.7%Portuguesa

Our prediction

Portuguesa

Portuguesa is the shortest 1X2 price in the stored market.

Odds2.5
Confidence35.7%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Marcílio Dias 31.9%
  • Draw 32.4%
  • Portuguesa 35.7%

Season statistics

Serie D · highlighted side is stronger

Marcílio DiasPortuguesa

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals20.4% · 1.144.9% · 4.75
1.5 goals13.4% · 1.7311.6% · 2
2.5 goals6.8% · 3.417.9% · 1.3
3.5 goals3.3% · 721.5% · 1.08

Both teams to score

Yes35.5%
No64.5%

Double chance

1X48%
X252%

Match result

Marcílio Dias2.8
Draw2.75
Portuguesa2.5

Both teams to score

Yes35.5% · 2.62
No64.5% · 1.44

1X

Chance48%
Odds1.44

X2

Chance52%
Odds1.33

Marcílio Dias

Chance31.9%
Odds2.8

Draw

Chance32.4%
Odds2.75

Portuguesa

Chance35.7%
Odds2.5

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Portuguesa at 2.5

Marcílio DiasPortuguesa
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall47%53%

Marcílio Dias vs Portuguesa: prediction & preview

Brazil · Serie D · Sat, 4 Jul 2026

Marcílio Dias meet Portuguesa in the Brazil, Serie D on 4 July 2026 at 22:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 1–1.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Portuguesa at 2.5. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 35.7% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.3, about 72.3% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on No at 1.44.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Marcílio Dias vs Portuguesa FAQs

4 questions

What time is Marcílio Dias vs Portuguesa?

Kickoff is 22:00 on 4 July 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Marcílio Dias vs Portuguesa?

Portuguesa is the shortest 1X2 price at 2.5. The margin-adjusted share is about 35.7%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 3.4 and under 2.5 is 1.3.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 2.62. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Marcílio Dias vs Portuguesa prediction, H2H and stats