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Marine vs Merthyr Town Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

England · National League - NorthTue, 14 Apr 2026

Marine

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Tue, 14 Apr 202619:45

1 : 3

Full time

Merthyr Town

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Pre-match win probability

42.4%Marine24.7%Draw32.9%Merthyr Town

Our prediction

Home · Marine

Marine vs Merthyr Town listed tip from the board.

Odds2.1
Confidence42.4%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Marine 42.4%
  • Draw 24.7%
  • Merthyr Town 32.9%

Season statistics

National League - North · highlighted side is stronger

MarineMerthyr Town

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22.8% · 1.022.1% · 11
1.5 goals20.8% · 1.124.2% · 5.5
2.5 goals16.2% · 1.448.9% · 2.62
3.5 goals11.1% · 2.113.9% · 1.67

Both teams to score

Yes64.5%
No35.5%

Double chance

1X54.1%
X245.9%

Match result

Marine2.1
Draw3.6
Merthyr Town2.7

Both teams to score

Yes64.5% · 1.44
No35.5% · 2.62

1X

Chance54.1%
Odds1.36

X2

Chance45.9%
Odds1.6

Marine

Chance42.4%
Odds2.1

Draw

Chance24.7%
Odds3.6

Merthyr Town

Chance32.9%
Odds2.7

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Home at 2.1

MarineMerthyr Town
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall56%44%

Marine vs Merthyr Town: prediction & preview

England · National League - North · Tue, 14 Apr 2026

Marine meet Merthyr Town in the England, National League - North on 14 April 2026 at 19:45 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 1–3.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Marine at 2.1. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 42.4% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.44, about 64.5% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.44.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Marine vs Merthyr Town FAQs

4 questions

What time is Marine vs Merthyr Town?

Kickoff is 19:45 on 14 April 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Marine vs Merthyr Town?

Marine is the shortest 1X2 price at 2.1. The margin-adjusted share is about 42.4%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.44 and under 2.5 is 2.62.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.44. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Marine vs Merthyr Town prediction, H2H and stats