Maritimo vs Chaves Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Portugal · Segunda LigaFri, 15 May 2026

Maritimo

LWWLW

Fri, 15 May 202619:00

1 : 3

Full time

Chaves

LLWLW

Pre-match win probability

43.6%Maritimo25.5%Draw30.8%Chaves

Our prediction

Home · Maritimo

Maritimo vs Chaves listed tip from the board.

Odds2.05
Confidence43.6%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Maritimo 43.6%
  • Draw 25.5%
  • Chaves 30.8%

Season statistics

Segunda Liga · highlighted side is stronger

MaritimoChaves

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22.6% · 1.041.8% · 13
1.5 goals19.3% · 1.225.9% · 4
2.5 goals13.8% · 1.711.2% · 2.1
3.5 goals8.6% · 2.7516.8% · 1.4

Both teams to score

Yes57.6%
No42.4%

Double chance

1X55.1%
X244.9%

Match result

Maritimo2.05
Draw3.5
Chaves2.9

Both teams to score

Yes57.6% · 1.62
No42.4% · 2.2

1X

Chance55.1%
Odds1.36

X2

Chance44.9%
Odds1.67

Maritimo

Chance43.6%
Odds2.05

Draw

Chance25.5%
Odds3.5

Chaves

Chance30.8%
Odds2.9

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Home at 2.05

MaritimoChaves
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall59%41%

Maritimo vs Chaves: prediction & preview

Portugal · Segunda Liga · Fri, 15 May 2026

Maritimo meet Chaves in the Portugal, Segunda Liga on 15 May 2026 at 19:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 1–3.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Maritimo at 2.05. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 43.6% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.7, about 55.3% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.62.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Maritimo vs Chaves FAQs

4 questions

What time is Maritimo vs Chaves?

Kickoff is 19:00 on 15 May 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Maritimo vs Chaves?

Maritimo is the shortest 1X2 price at 2.05. The margin-adjusted share is about 43.6%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.7 and under 2.5 is 2.1.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.62. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Maritimo vs Chaves prediction, H2H and stats