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Marseille vs Atletico Madrid Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

World · Friendlies ClubsFri, 14 Aug 2026

Marseille

Fri, 14 Aug 202616:30

1 : 2

Full time

Atletico Madrid

Pre-match win probability

33.5%Marseille24.4%Draw42.1%Atletico Madrid

Our prediction

Atletico Madrid

Atletico Madrid is the shortest 1X2 price in the stored market.

Odds2.15
Confidence42.1%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Marseille 33.5%
  • Draw 24.4%
  • Atletico Madrid 42.1%

Season statistics

Friendlies Clubs · highlighted side is stronger

MarseilleAtletico Madrid

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22.9% · 1.022.2% · 10.5
1.5 goals19.9% · 1.175.2% · 4.5
2.5 goals14.9% · 1.579.9% · 2.35
3.5 goals9.8% · 2.3815.2% · 1.53

Both teams to score

Yes60.9%
No39.1%

Double chance

1X46.4%
X253.6%

Match result

Marseille2.7
Draw3.7
Atletico Madrid2.15

Both teams to score

Yes60.9% · 1.53
No39.1% · 2.38

1X

Chance46.4%
Odds1.57

X2

Chance53.6%
Odds1.36

Marseille

Chance33.5%
Odds2.7

Draw

Chance24.4%
Odds3.7

Atletico Madrid

Chance42.1%
Odds2.15

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Atletico Madrid at 2.15

MarseilleAtletico Madrid
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall44%56%

Marseille vs Atletico Madrid: prediction & preview

World · Friendlies Clubs · Fri, 14 Aug 2026

Marseille meet Atletico Madrid in the World, Friendlies Clubs on 14 August 2026 at 16:30 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 1–2.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Atletico Madrid at 2.15. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 42.1% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.57, about 59.9% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.53.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Marseille vs Atletico Madrid FAQs

4 questions

What time is Marseille vs Atletico Madrid?

Kickoff is 16:30 on 14 August 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Marseille vs Atletico Madrid?

Atletico Madrid is the shortest 1X2 price at 2.15. The margin-adjusted share is about 42.1%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.57 and under 2.5 is 2.35.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.53. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Marseille vs Atletico Madrid prediction, H2H and stats