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Marseille vs Lens Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

France · Ligue 1Sat, 24 Jan 2026

Marseille

LWWDL

Sat, 24 Jan 202621:05

3 : 1

Full time

Lens

WWWWW

Pre-match win probability

47.1%Marseille25.1%Draw27.7%Lens

Our prediction

Away · Marseille

Marseille vs Lens listed tip from the board.

Odds3.4
Confidence47.1%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Marseille 47.1%
  • Draw 25.1%
  • Lens 27.7%

Season statistics

Ligue 1 · highlighted side is stronger

MarseilleLens

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals23.1% · 1.031.6% · 15
1.5 goals19.8% · 1.25.3% · 4.5
2.5 goals14.7% · 1.6210.4% · 2.3
3.5 goals9.5% · 2.515.6% · 1.53

Both teams to score

Yes60.9%
No39.1%

Double chance

1X56.5%
X243.5%

Match result

Marseille2
Draw3.75
Lens3.4

Both teams to score

Yes60.9% · 1.53
No39.1% · 2.38

1X

Chance56.5%
Odds1.33

X2

Chance43.5%
Odds1.73

Marseille

Chance47.1%
Odds2

Draw

Chance25.1%
Odds3.75

Lens

Chance27.7%
Odds3.4

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Away at 3.4

MarseilleLens
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall63%37%

Marseille vs Lens: prediction & preview

France · Ligue 1 · Sat, 24 Jan 2026

Marseille meet Lens in the France, Ligue 1 on 24 January 2026 at 21:05 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 3–1.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Marseille at 2. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 47.1% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.62, about 58.7% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.53.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Marseille vs Lens FAQs

4 questions

What time is Marseille vs Lens?

Kickoff is 21:05 on 24 January 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Marseille vs Lens?

Marseille is the shortest 1X2 price at 2. The margin-adjusted share is about 47.1%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.62 and under 2.5 is 2.3.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.53. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Marseille vs Lens prediction, H2H and stats