Marseille vs Lille Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

France · Ligue 1Sun, 22 Mar 2026

Marseille

WWDWL

Sun, 22 Mar 202617:15

1 : 2

Full time

Lille

LWLDW

Pre-match win probability

50%Marseille25.7%Draw24.4%Lille

Our prediction

Home or Draw · Marseille

Marseille vs Lille listed tip from the board.

Odds1.22
Confidence50%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Marseille 50%
  • Draw 25.7%
  • Lille 24.4%

Season statistics

Ligue 1 · highlighted side is stronger

MarseilleLille

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22.9% · 1.042% · 12
1.5 goals19.1% · 1.256% · 4
2.5 goals13.2% · 1.811.9% · 2
3.5 goals7.9% · 317% · 1.4

Both teams to score

Yes54.7%
No45.3%

Double chance

1X61%
X239%

Match result

Marseille1.9
Draw3.7
Lille3.9

Both teams to score

Yes54.7% · 1.7
No45.3% · 2.05

1X

Chance61%
Odds1.22

X2

Chance39%
Odds1.91

Marseille

Chance50%
Odds1.9

Draw

Chance25.7%
Odds3.7

Lille

Chance24.4%
Odds3.9

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Home or Draw at 1.22

MarseilleLille
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall67%33%

Marseille vs Lille: prediction & preview

France · Ligue 1 · Sun, 22 Mar 2026

Marseille meet Lille in the France, Ligue 1 on 22 March 2026 at 17:15 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 1–2.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Marseille at 1.9. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 50% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.8, about 52.6% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.7.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Marseille vs Lille FAQs

4 questions

What time is Marseille vs Lille?

Kickoff is 17:15 on 22 March 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Marseille vs Lille?

Marseille is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.9. The margin-adjusted share is about 50%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.8 and under 2.5 is 2.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.7. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Marseille vs Lille prediction, H2H and stats