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Marseille vs Liverpool Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

World · UEFA Champions LeagueWed, 21 Jan 2026

Marseille

WWDLW

Wed, 21 Jan 202621:00

0 : 3

Full time

Liverpool

DWDDD

Pre-match win probability

26.4%Marseille25%Draw48.7%Liverpool

Our prediction

Away or Draw · Marseille

Marseille vs Liverpool listed tip from the board.

Odds1.28
Confidence48.7%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Marseille 26.4%
  • Draw 25%
  • Liverpool 48.7%

Season statistics

UEFA Champions League · highlighted side is stronger

MarseilleLiverpool

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals23.1% · 1.031.6% · 15
1.5 goals20.3% · 1.174.8% · 5
2.5 goals14.7% · 1.6210.3% · 2.3
3.5 goals10% · 2.3815.2% · 1.57

Both teams to score

Yes60.9%
No39.1%

Double chance

1X41.2%
X258.8%

Match result

Marseille3.6
Draw3.8
Liverpool1.95

Both teams to score

Yes60.9% · 1.53
No39.1% · 2.38

1X

Chance41.2%
Odds1.83

X2

Chance58.8%
Odds1.28

Marseille

Chance26.4%
Odds3.6

Draw

Chance25%
Odds3.8

Liverpool

Chance48.7%
Odds1.95

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Away or Draw at 1.28

MarseilleLiverpool
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall35%65%

Marseille vs Liverpool: prediction & preview

World · UEFA Champions League · Wed, 21 Jan 2026

Marseille meet Liverpool in the World, UEFA Champions League on 21 January 2026 at 21:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 0–3.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Liverpool at 1.95. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 48.7% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.62, about 58.7% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.53.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Marseille vs Liverpool FAQs

4 questions

What time is Marseille vs Liverpool?

Kickoff is 21:00 on 21 January 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Marseille vs Liverpool?

Liverpool is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.95. The margin-adjusted share is about 48.7%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.62 and under 2.5 is 2.3.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.53. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Marseille vs Liverpool prediction, H2H and stats