Get Premium

Marseille vs Paris Saint Germain Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

France · Ligue 1Sun, 20 Sept 2026

Marseille

LLLLW

Sun, 20 Sept 202619:45

1 : 2

Full time

Paris Saint Germain

WWLDD

Pre-match win probability

15%Marseille18.8%Draw66.2%Paris Saint Germain

Our prediction

2-3 · Marseille

Marseille vs Paris Saint Germain listed tip from the board.

Odds1.42
Confidence66.2%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Marseille 15%
  • Draw 18.8%
  • Paris Saint Germain 66.2%

Season statistics

Ligue 1 · highlighted side is stronger

MarseilleParis Saint Germain

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals23.7% · 1.011.1% · 21
1.5 goals21.7% · 1.13.4% · 7
2.5 goals17.6% · 1.367.5% · 3.2
3.5 goals12.5% · 1.9112.5% · 1.91

Both teams to score

Yes62.5%
No37.5%

Double chance

1X28.9%
X271.1%

Match result

Marseille6.25
Draw5
Paris Saint Germain1.42

Both teams to score

Yes62.5% · 1.5
No37.5% · 2.5

1X

Chance28.9%
Odds2.75

X2

Chance71.1%
Odds1.12

Marseille

Chance15%
Odds6.25

Draw

Chance18.8%
Odds5

Paris Saint Germain

Chance66.2%
Odds1.42

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: 2-3 at 1.42

MarseilleParis Saint Germain
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall18%82%

Marseille vs Paris Saint Germain: prediction & preview

France · Ligue 1 · Sun, 20 Sept 2026

Marseille meet Paris Saint Germain in the France, Ligue 1 on 20 September 2026 at 19:45 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 1–2.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Paris Saint Germain at 1.42. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 66.2% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.36, about 70.2% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.5.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Marseille vs Paris Saint Germain FAQs

4 questions

What time is Marseille vs Paris Saint Germain?

Kickoff is 19:45 on 20 September 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Marseille vs Paris Saint Germain?

Paris Saint Germain is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.42. The margin-adjusted share is about 66.2%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.36 and under 2.5 is 3.2.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.5. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Marseille vs Paris Saint Germain prediction, H2H and stats