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Marseille vs Rennes Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

France · Ligue 1Sun, 17 May 2026

Marseille

WLDLW

Sun, 17 May 202620:00

3 : 1

Full time

Rennes

WLWWW

Pre-match win probability

47.5%Marseille23.7%Draw28.8%Rennes

Our prediction

Away · Marseille

Marseille vs Rennes listed tip from the board.

Odds3.3
Confidence47.5%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Marseille 47.5%
  • Draw 23.7%
  • Rennes 28.8%

Season statistics

Ligue 1 · highlighted side is stronger

MarseilleRennes

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Marseille0W 0D 0L in last 0
    Rennes0W 0D 0L in last 0
      H2H
      Head to headMarseille 5W · 1D · Rennes 3W · 2.3 goals a game
      • 11 SeptRennes1 – 0Marseille
      • 3 FebMarseille3 – 0Rennes
      • 15 AugRennes1 – 0Marseille
      • 17 MayMarseille4 – 2Rennes
      • 11 JanRennes1 – 2Marseille
      • 17 MarRennes2 – 0Marseille

      Betting markets

      Bookmaker prices with margin removed

      Goal lineOverUnder
      0.5 goals23.7% · 1.011.1% · 21
      1.5 goals21.7% · 1.13.4% · 7
      2.5 goals17.6% · 1.367.5% · 3.2
      3.5 goals12.5% · 1.9112.5% · 1.91

      Both teams to score

      Yes66.3%
      No33.7%

      Double chance

      1X57.5%
      X242.5%

      Match result

      Marseille2
      Draw4
      Rennes3.3

      Both teams to score

      Yes66.3% · 1.4
      No33.7% · 2.75

      1X

      Chance57.5%
      Odds1.33

      X2

      Chance42.5%
      Odds1.8

      Marseille

      Chance47.5%
      Odds2

      Draw

      Chance23.7%
      Odds4

      Rennes

      Chance28.8%
      Odds3.3

      No half-time prices stored.

      No corner prices stored.

      Model comparison

      Our pick: Away at 3.3

      MarseilleRennes
      Recent form50%50%
      Attack50%50%
      Defence50%50%
      Goals model50%50%
      Head-to-head61%39%
      Overall62%38%

      Marseille vs Rennes: prediction & preview

      France · Ligue 1 · Sun, 17 May 2026

      Marseille meet Rennes in the France, Ligue 1 on 17 May 2026 at 20:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 3–1.

      On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Marseille at 2. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 47.5% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

      The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.36, about 70.2% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.4.

      Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

      Marseille vs Rennes FAQs

      4 questions

      What time is Marseille vs Rennes?

      Kickoff is 20:00 on 17 May 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

      Which outcome is shortest on Marseille vs Rennes?

      Marseille is the shortest 1X2 price at 2. The margin-adjusted share is about 47.5%.

      What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

      Over 2.5 is 1.36 and under 2.5 is 3.2.

      Do both teams score on this match?

      Both teams to score is priced at 1.4. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

      Marseille vs Rennes prediction, H2H and stats