Get Premium

Marseille vs Toulouse Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

France · Coupe de FranceWed, 4 Mar 2026

Marseille

WLDLW

Wed, 4 Mar 202621:00

2 : 2

Full time

Toulouse

LDLLW

Pre-match win probability

50.6%Marseille26%Draw23.4%Toulouse

Our prediction

Home · Marseille

Marseille vs Toulouse listed tip from the board.

Odds1.85
Confidence50.6%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Marseille 50.6%
  • Draw 26%
  • Toulouse 23.4%

Season statistics

Coupe de France · highlighted side is stronger

MarseilleToulouse

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Marseille0W 0D 0L in last 0
    Toulouse0W 0D 0L in last 0
      H2H
      Head to headNo previous meetings found between these sides.

      Betting markets

      Bookmaker prices with margin removed

      Goal lineOverUnder
      0.5 goals22.7% · 1.041.8% · 13
      1.5 goals18.9% · 1.256.3% · 3.75
      2.5 goals12.8% · 1.8512.1% · 1.95
      3.5 goals7.9% · 317.4% · 1.36

      Both teams to score

      Yes51.5%
      No48.5%

      Double chance

      1X64%
      X236%

      Match result

      Marseille1.85
      Draw3.6
      Toulouse4

      Both teams to score

      Yes51.5% · 1.8
      No48.5% · 1.91

      1X

      Chance64%
      Odds1.18

      X2

      Chance36%
      Odds2.1

      Marseille

      Chance50.6%
      Odds1.85

      Draw

      Chance26%
      Odds3.6

      Toulouse

      Chance23.4%
      Odds4

      No half-time prices stored.

      No corner prices stored.

      Model comparison

      Our pick: Home at 1.85

      MarseilleToulouse
      Recent form50%50%
      Attack50%50%
      Defence50%50%
      Goals model50%50%
      Overall68%32%

      Marseille vs Toulouse: prediction & preview

      France · Coupe de France · Wed, 4 Mar 2026

      Marseille meet Toulouse in the France, Coupe de France on 4 March 2026 at 21:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 2–2.

      On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Marseille at 1.85. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 50.6% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

      The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.85, about 51.3% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.8.

      Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

      Marseille vs Toulouse FAQs

      4 questions

      What time is Marseille vs Toulouse?

      Kickoff is 21:00 on 4 March 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

      Which outcome is shortest on Marseille vs Toulouse?

      Marseille is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.85. The margin-adjusted share is about 50.6%.

      What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

      Over 2.5 is 1.85 and under 2.5 is 1.95.

      Do both teams score on this match?

      Both teams to score is priced at 1.8. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.