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Martina Franca vs Paganese Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Italy · Serie D - Girone HSun, 17 May 2026

Martina Franca

WWWWD

Sun, 17 May 202615:00

0 : 1

Full time

Paganese

Pre-match win probability

43.4%Martina Franca28.7%Draw27.8%Paganese

Our prediction

Martina Franca

Martina Franca is the shortest 1X2 price in the stored market.

Odds2.05
Confidence43.4%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Martina Franca 43.4%
  • Draw 28.7%
  • Paganese 27.8%

Season statistics

Serie D - Girone H · 9 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

Martina FrancaPaganese
Goals scored (avg)
1.9–
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
0.9–

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Martina Franca6W 1D 2L in last 9
  • 25 OctIschia1 – 1Martina FrancaD
  • 18 OctMartina Franca2 – 0NocerinaW
  • 11 OctEbolitana0 – 2Martina FrancaW
  • 4 OctMartina Franca1 – 0FrancavillaW
  • 27 SeptNardò0 – 3Martina FrancaW
Paganese0W 0D 0L in last 0
    H2H
    Head to headMartina Franca 2W · 0D · Paganese 2W · 2.8 goals a game
    • 22 MarPaganese3 – 2Martina Franca
    • 9 NovMartina Franca0 – 1Paganese
    • 7 AprMartina Franca3 – 1Paganese
    • 26 NovPaganese0 – 1Martina Franca

    Betting markets

    Bookmaker prices with margin removed

    Goal lineOverUnder
    2.5 goals41.9% · 2.2558.1% · 1.62

    Double chance

    1X55.9%
    X244.1%

    Match result

    Martina Franca2.05
    Draw3.1
    Paganese3.2

    No BTTS prices stored.

    1X

    Chance55.9%
    Odds1.28

    X2

    Chance44.1%
    Odds1.62

    Martina Franca

    Chance43.4%
    Odds2.05

    Draw

    Chance28.7%
    Odds3.1

    Paganese

    Chance27.8%
    Odds3.2

    No half-time prices stored.

    No corner prices stored.

    Model comparison

    Our pick: Martina Franca at 2.05

    Martina FrancaPaganese
    Recent form95%5%
    Attack66%34%
    Defence68%32%
    Goals model66%34%
    Head-to-head50%50%
    Overall61%39%

    Trends

    Trend · Serie D - Girone H

    Martina Franca scored 1.9 per game in the last 9.

    Trend · Serie D - Girone H

    Martina Franca conceded 0.9 per game in the last 9.

    Trend · Serie D - Girone H

    Kept a clean sheet in 5 of those 9.

    Trend · Serie D - Girone H

    Over 2.5 goals in 4 of those 9.

    Martina Franca vs Paganese: prediction & preview

    Italy · Serie D - Girone H · Sun, 17 May 2026

    Martina Franca meet Paganese in the Italy, Serie D - Girone H on 17 May 2026 at 15:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 0–1.

    On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Martina Franca at 2.05. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 43.4% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

    The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.62, about 58.1% after the margin).

    Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

    Martina Franca vs Paganese FAQs

    4 questions

    What time is Martina Franca vs Paganese?

    Kickoff is 15:00 on 17 May 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

    Which outcome is shortest on Martina Franca vs Paganese?

    Martina Franca is the shortest 1X2 price at 2.05. The margin-adjusted share is about 43.4%.

    What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

    Over 2.5 is 2.25 and under 2.5 is 1.62.

    Do both teams score on this match?

    A both-teams-to-score price is not stored for this match.