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Mārupe vs Rīgas FS II Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Latvia · 1. LigaSat, 23 May 2026

Mārupe

7th in table · 33 pts

WDWDL

Sat, 23 May 202611:00

1 : 4

Full time

Rīgas FS II

12th in table · 18 pts

Pre-match win probability

63.9%Mārupe19.9%Draw16.3%Rīgas FS II

Our prediction

Mārupe

Mārupe is the shortest 1X2 price in the stored market.

Odds1.4
Confidence63.9%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Mārupe 63.9%
  • Draw 19.9%
  • Rīgas FS II 16.3%

Season statistics

1. Liga · 10 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

MārupeRīgas FS II
Goals scored (avg)
1.4–
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
2–
Wins
105
Played
2424

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Mārupe3W 2D 5L in last 10
  • 24 OctMārupe1 – 6Riga MarinersL
  • 18 OctJFK Ventspils0 – 0MārupeD
  • 10 OctRīgas FS II2 – 3MārupeW
  • 20 SeptMārupe0 – 0Riga FC IID
  • 12 SeptMārupe5 – 0Tukums IIW
Rīgas FS II0W 0D 0L in last 0
    H2H
    Head to headNo previous meetings found between these sides.

    Betting markets

    Bookmaker prices with margin removed

    Goal lineOverUnder
    2.5 goals66.3% · 1.433.7% · 2.75

    Double chance

    1X70.3%
    X229.7%

    Match result

    Mārupe1.4
    Draw4.5
    Rīgas FS II5.5

    No BTTS prices stored.

    1X

    Chance70.3%
    Odds1.1

    X2

    Chance29.7%
    Odds2.6

    Mārupe

    Chance63.9%
    Odds1.4

    Draw

    Chance19.9%
    Odds4.5

    Rīgas FS II

    Chance16.3%
    Odds5.5

    No half-time prices stored.

    No corner prices stored.

    Model comparison

    Our pick: Mārupe at 1.4

    MārupeRīgas FS II
    Recent form92%8%
    Attack58%42%
    Defence50%50%
    Goals model58%42%
    Overall80%20%

    Trends

    Trend · 1. Liga

    Mārupe scored 1.4 per game in the last 10.

    Trend · 1. Liga

    Mārupe conceded 2 per game in the last 10.

    Trend · 1. Liga

    Failed to score in 4 of those 10.

    Trend · 1. Liga

    Kept a clean sheet in 3 of those 10.

    Mārupe vs Rīgas FS II: prediction & preview

    Latvia · 1. Liga · Sat, 23 May 2026

    Mārupe meet Rīgas FS II in the Latvia, 1. Liga on 23 May 2026 at 11:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 1–4.

    On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Mārupe at 1.4. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 63.9% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

    The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.4, about 66.3% after the margin).

    Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

    Mārupe vs Rīgas FS II FAQs

    4 questions

    What time is Mārupe vs Rīgas FS II?

    Kickoff is 11:00 on 23 May 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

    Which outcome is shortest on Mārupe vs Rīgas FS II?

    Mārupe is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.4. The margin-adjusted share is about 63.9%.

    What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

    Over 2.5 is 1.4 and under 2.5 is 2.75.

    Do both teams score on this match?

    A both-teams-to-score price is not stored for this match.