Mārupe vs Smiltene Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Latvia · 1. LigaSat, 4 Jul 2026

Mārupe

Sat, 4 Jul 202614:00

2 : 1

Full time

Smiltene

Pre-match win probability

64.5%Mārupe19%Draw16.4%Smiltene

Our prediction

Mārupe

Mārupe is the shortest 1X2 price in the stored market.

Odds1.4
Confidence64.5%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Mārupe 64.5%
  • Draw 19%
  • Smiltene 16.4%

Season statistics

1. Liga · highlighted side is stronger

MārupeSmiltene

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
2.5 goals64.5% · 1.4435.5% · 2.62

Double chance

1X72.9%
X227.1%

Match result

Mārupe1.4
Draw4.75
Smiltene5.5

No BTTS prices stored.

1X

Chance72.9%
Odds1.07

X2

Chance27.1%
Odds2.88

Mārupe

Chance64.5%
Odds1.4

Draw

Chance19%
Odds4.75

Smiltene

Chance16.4%
Odds5.5

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Mārupe at 1.4

MārupeSmiltene
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall80%20%

Mārupe vs Smiltene: prediction & preview

Latvia · 1. Liga · Sat, 4 Jul 2026

Mārupe meet Smiltene in the Latvia, 1. Liga on 4 July 2026 at 14:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 2–1.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Mārupe at 1.4. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 64.5% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.44, about 64.5% after the margin).

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Mārupe vs Smiltene FAQs

4 questions

What time is Mārupe vs Smiltene?

Kickoff is 14:00 on 4 July 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Mārupe vs Smiltene?

Mārupe is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.4. The margin-adjusted share is about 64.5%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.44 and under 2.5 is 2.62.

Do both teams score on this match?

A both-teams-to-score price is not stored for this match.

Mārupe vs Smiltene prediction, H2H and stats