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Mathare United vs Tusker Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Kenya · FKF Premier LeagueSat, 14 Feb 2026

Mathare United

Sat, 14 Feb 202614:00

3 : 1

Full time

Tusker

Pre-match win probability

29%Mathare United31.2%Draw39.9%Tusker

Our prediction

Tusker

Tusker is the shortest 1X2 price in the stored market.

Odds2.25
Confidence39.9%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Mathare United 29%
  • Draw 31.2%
  • Tusker 39.9%

Season statistics

FKF Premier League · highlighted side is stronger

Mathare UnitedTusker

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Mathare United0W 0D 0L in last 0
    Tusker0W 0D 0L in last 0
      H2H
      Head to headMathare United 1W · 2D · Tusker 5W · 2 goals a game
      • 1 OctTusker0 – 0Mathare United
      • 27 AprMathare United2 – 1Tusker
      • 7 DecTusker2 – 0Mathare United
      • 12 AprMathare United0 – 2Tusker
      • 18 FebTusker2 – 1Mathare United
      • 30 DecTusker4 – 1Mathare United

      Betting markets

      Bookmaker prices with margin removed

      Goal lineOverUnder
      2.5 goals33.7% · 2.7566.3% · 1.4

      Double chance

      1X45.6%
      X254.4%

      Match result

      Mathare United3.1
      Draw2.88
      Tusker2.25

      No BTTS prices stored.

      1X

      Chance45.6%
      Odds1.53

      X2

      Chance54.4%
      Odds1.28

      Mathare United

      Chance29%
      Odds3.1

      Draw

      Chance31.2%
      Odds2.88

      Tusker

      Chance39.9%
      Odds2.25

      No half-time prices stored.

      No corner prices stored.

      Model comparison

      Our pick: Tusker at 2.25

      Mathare UnitedTusker
      Recent form50%50%
      Attack50%50%
      Defence50%50%
      Goals model50%50%
      Head-to-head25%75%
      Overall42%58%

      Mathare United vs Tusker: prediction & preview

      Kenya · FKF Premier League · Sat, 14 Feb 2026

      Mathare United meet Tusker in the Kenya, FKF Premier League on 14 February 2026 at 14:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 3–1.

      On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Tusker at 2.25. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 39.9% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

      The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.4, about 66.3% after the margin).

      Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

      Mathare United vs Tusker FAQs

      4 questions

      What time is Mathare United vs Tusker?

      Kickoff is 14:00 on 14 February 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

      Which outcome is shortest on Mathare United vs Tusker?

      Tusker is the shortest 1X2 price at 2.25. The margin-adjusted share is about 39.9%.

      What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

      Over 2.5 is 2.75 and under 2.5 is 1.4.

      Do both teams score on this match?

      A both-teams-to-score price is not stored for this match.

      Mathare United vs Tusker prediction, H2H and stats