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Matsumoto Yamaga vs Albirex Niigata Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Japan · J-League CupTue, 29 Sept 2026

Matsumoto Yamaga

Tue, 29 Sept 202611:00

1 : 0

Full time

Albirex Niigata

Pre-match win probability

34.5%Matsumoto Yamaga25.6%Draw39.9%Albirex Niigata

Our prediction

Albirex Niigata

Albirex Niigata is the shortest 1X2 price in the stored market.

Odds2.25
Confidence39.9%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Matsumoto Yamaga 34.5%
  • Draw 25.6%
  • Albirex Niigata 39.9%

Season statistics

J-League Cup · highlighted side is stronger

Matsumoto YamagaAlbirex Niigata

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22.6% · 1.041.8% · 13
1.5 goals19.3% · 1.225.9% · 4
2.5 goals13.5% · 1.7511.5% · 2.05
3.5 goals8.6% · 2.7516.8% · 1.4

Both teams to score

Yes57.6%
No42.4%

Double chance

1X47.8%
X252.2%

Match result

Matsumoto Yamaga2.6
Draw3.5
Albirex Niigata2.25

Both teams to score

Yes57.6% · 1.62
No42.4% · 2.2

1X

Chance47.8%
Odds1.53

X2

Chance52.2%
Odds1.4

Matsumoto Yamaga

Chance34.5%
Odds2.6

Draw

Chance25.6%
Odds3.5

Albirex Niigata

Chance39.9%
Odds2.25

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Albirex Niigata at 2.25

Matsumoto YamagaAlbirex Niigata
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall46%54%

Matsumoto Yamaga vs Albirex Niigata: prediction & preview

Japan · J-League Cup · Tue, 29 Sept 2026

Matsumoto Yamaga meet Albirex Niigata in the Japan, J-League Cup on 29 September 2026 at 11:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 1–0.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Albirex Niigata at 2.25. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 39.9% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.75, about 53.9% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.62.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Matsumoto Yamaga vs Albirex Niigata FAQs

4 questions

What time is Matsumoto Yamaga vs Albirex Niigata?

Kickoff is 11:00 on 29 September 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Matsumoto Yamaga vs Albirex Niigata?

Albirex Niigata is the shortest 1X2 price at 2.25. The margin-adjusted share is about 39.9%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.75 and under 2.5 is 2.05.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.62. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Matsumoto Yamaga vs Albirex Niigata prediction, H2H and stats