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Matsumoto Yamaga vs Kitakyushu Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Japan · J3 LeagueSat, 29 Nov 2025

Matsumoto Yamaga

15th in table · 43 pts

Sat, 29 Nov 202507:00

2 : 1

Full time

Kitakyushu

8th in table · 56 pts

Pre-match win probability

25%Matsumoto Yamaga25%Draw50%Kitakyushu

Our prediction

Draw · Matsumoto Yamaga

Matsumoto Yamaga vs Kitakyushu listed tip from the board.

Odds3.6
Confidence50%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Matsumoto Yamaga 25%
  • Draw 25%
  • Kitakyushu 50%

Season statistics

J3 League · highlighted side is stronger

Matsumoto YamagaKitakyushu
Wins
1117
Played
3838

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Matsumoto Yamaga0W 0D 0L in last 0
    Kitakyushu0W 0D 0L in last 0
      H2H
      Head to headMatsumoto Yamaga 5W · 4D · Kitakyushu 0W · 2 goals a game
      • 30 AugKitakyushu1 – 1Matsumoto Yamaga
      • 26 AprKitakyushu1 – 2Matsumoto Yamaga
      • 20 JulKitakyushu0 – 0Matsumoto Yamaga
      • 18 MayMatsumoto Yamaga1 – 1Kitakyushu
      • 5 NovMatsumoto Yamaga1 – 0Kitakyushu
      • 9 AprKitakyushu2 – 4Matsumoto Yamaga

      Betting markets

      Bookmaker prices with margin removed

      Goal lineOverUnder
      2.5 goals47.4% · 252.6% · 1.8

      Double chance

      1X40%
      X260%

      Match result

      Matsumoto Yamaga3.6
      Draw3.6
      Kitakyushu1.8

      No BTTS prices stored.

      1X

      Chance40%
      Odds1.83

      X2

      Chance60%
      Odds1.22

      Matsumoto Yamaga

      Chance25%
      Odds3.6

      Draw

      Chance25%
      Odds3.6

      Kitakyushu

      Chance50%
      Odds1.8

      No half-time prices stored.

      No corner prices stored.

      Model comparison

      Our pick: Draw at 3.6

      Matsumoto YamagaKitakyushu
      Recent form50%50%
      Attack50%50%
      Defence50%50%
      Goals model50%50%
      Head-to-head78%22%
      Overall33%67%

      Matsumoto Yamaga vs Kitakyushu: prediction & preview

      Japan · J3 League · Sat, 29 Nov 2025

      Matsumoto Yamaga meet Kitakyushu in the Japan, J3 League on 29 November 2025 at 07:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 2–1.

      On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Kitakyushu at 1.8. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 50% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

      The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.8, about 52.6% after the margin).

      Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

      Matsumoto Yamaga vs Kitakyushu FAQs

      4 questions

      What time is Matsumoto Yamaga vs Kitakyushu?

      Kickoff is 07:00 on 29 November 2025, shown in Africa/Lagos.

      Which outcome is shortest on Matsumoto Yamaga vs Kitakyushu?

      Kitakyushu is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.8. The margin-adjusted share is about 50%.

      What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

      Over 2.5 is 2 and under 2.5 is 1.8.

      Do both teams score on this match?

      A both-teams-to-score price is not stored for this match.