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Matsumoto Yamaga vs Omiya Ardija Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Japan · J2 LeagueSun, 12 Apr 2026

Matsumoto Yamaga

DWDWW

Sun, 12 Apr 202606:00

4 : 1

Full time

Omiya Ardija

WLWLD

Pre-match win probability

24%Matsumoto Yamaga25.3%Draw50.6%Omiya Ardija

Our prediction

1X · Matsumoto Yamaga

Matsumoto Yamaga vs Omiya Ardija listed tip from the board.

Odds1.83
Confidence50.6%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Matsumoto Yamaga 24%
  • Draw 25.3%
  • Omiya Ardija 50.6%

Season statistics

J2 League · highlighted side is stronger

Matsumoto YamagaOmiya Ardija

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22.5% · 1.042.6% · 9
1.5 goals19.2% · 1.225.8% · 4
2.5 goals13.5% · 1.7311.2% · 2.08
3.5 goals8.5% · 2.7516.7% · 1.4

Both teams to score

Yes55.7%
No44.3%

Double chance

1X40.6%
X259.4%

Match result

Matsumoto Yamaga3.9
Draw3.7
Omiya Ardija1.85

Both teams to score

Yes55.7% · 1.67
No44.3% · 2.1

1X

Chance40.6%
Odds1.83

X2

Chance59.4%
Odds1.25

Matsumoto Yamaga

Chance24%
Odds3.9

Draw

Chance25.3%
Odds3.7

Omiya Ardija

Chance50.6%
Odds1.85

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: 1X at 1.83

Matsumoto YamagaOmiya Ardija
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall32%68%

Matsumoto Yamaga vs Omiya Ardija: prediction & preview

Japan · J2 League · Sun, 12 Apr 2026

Matsumoto Yamaga meet Omiya Ardija in the Japan, J2 League on 12 April 2026 at 06:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 4–1.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Omiya Ardija at 1.85. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 50.6% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.73, about 54.6% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.67.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Matsumoto Yamaga vs Omiya Ardija FAQs

4 questions

What time is Matsumoto Yamaga vs Omiya Ardija?

Kickoff is 06:00 on 12 April 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Matsumoto Yamaga vs Omiya Ardija?

Omiya Ardija is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.85. The margin-adjusted share is about 50.6%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.73 and under 2.5 is 2.08.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.67. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Matsumoto Yamaga vs Omiya Ardija prediction, H2H and stats