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Matsumoto Yamaga vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Japan · J-League CupWed, 14 Oct 2026

Matsumoto Yamaga

Wed, 14 Oct 202611:00

0 : 1

Full time

Sanfrecce Hiroshima

Pre-match win probability

8.2%Matsumoto Yamaga16.4%Draw75.3%Sanfrecce Hiroshima

Our prediction

Sanfrecce Hiroshima

Sanfrecce Hiroshima is the shortest 1X2 price in the stored market.

Odds1.2
Confidence75.3%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Matsumoto Yamaga 8.2%
  • Draw 16.4%
  • Sanfrecce Hiroshima 75.3%

Season statistics

J-League Cup · highlighted side is stronger

Matsumoto YamagaSanfrecce Hiroshima

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals23.2% · 1.021.2% · 19
1.5 goals20.8% · 1.144.3% · 5.5
2.5 goals16% · 1.489.1% · 2.6
3.5 goals11.3% · 2.114.2% · 1.67

Both teams to score

Yes48.5%
No51.5%

Double chance

1X20.6%
X279.4%

Match result

Matsumoto Yamaga11
Draw5.5
Sanfrecce Hiroshima1.2

Both teams to score

Yes48.5% · 1.91
No51.5% · 1.8

1X

Chance20.6%
Odds4

X2

Chance79.4%
Odds1.04

Matsumoto Yamaga

Chance8.2%
Odds11

Draw

Chance16.4%
Odds5.5

Sanfrecce Hiroshima

Chance75.3%
Odds1.2

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Sanfrecce Hiroshima at 1.2

Matsumoto YamagaSanfrecce Hiroshima
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall10%90%

Matsumoto Yamaga vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima: prediction & preview

Japan · J-League Cup · Wed, 14 Oct 2026

Matsumoto Yamaga meet Sanfrecce Hiroshima in the Japan, J-League Cup on 14 October 2026 at 11:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 0–1.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Sanfrecce Hiroshima at 1.2. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 75.3% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.48, about 63.7% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on No at 1.8.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Matsumoto Yamaga vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima FAQs

4 questions

What time is Matsumoto Yamaga vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima?

Kickoff is 11:00 on 14 October 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Matsumoto Yamaga vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima?

Sanfrecce Hiroshima is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.2. The margin-adjusted share is about 75.3%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.48 and under 2.5 is 2.6.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.91. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Matsumoto Yamaga vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima prediction, H2H and stats