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Melbourne City vs Adelaide United Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Australia · A-LeagueSun, 26 Apr 2026

Melbourne City

WWWWD

Sun, 26 Apr 202608:30

1 : 2

Full time

Adelaide United

WDDWD

Pre-match win probability

43.7%Melbourne City25%Draw31.3%Adelaide United

Our prediction

Home or Draw · Melbourne City

Melbourne City vs Adelaide United listed tip from the board.

Odds1.36
Confidence43.7%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Melbourne City 43.7%
  • Draw 25%
  • Adelaide United 31.3%

Season statistics

A-League · highlighted side is stronger

Melbourne CityAdelaide United

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22.8% · 1.031.6% · 15
1.5 goals19.9% · 1.185.2% · 4.5
2.5 goals14.9% · 1.5710.4% · 2.25
3.5 goals9.9% · 2.3815.3% · 1.53

Both teams to score

Yes60.9%
No39.1%

Double chance

1X56%
X244%

Match result

Melbourne City2.15
Draw3.75
Adelaide United3

Both teams to score

Yes60.9% · 1.53
No39.1% · 2.38

1X

Chance56%
Odds1.36

X2

Chance44%
Odds1.73

Melbourne City

Chance43.7%
Odds2.15

Draw

Chance25%
Odds3.75

Adelaide United

Chance31.3%
Odds3

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Home or Draw at 1.36

Melbourne CityAdelaide United
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall58%42%

Melbourne City vs Adelaide United: prediction & preview

Australia · A-League · Sun, 26 Apr 2026

Melbourne City meet Adelaide United in the Australia, A-League on 26 April 2026 at 08:30 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 1–2.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Melbourne City at 2.15. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 43.7% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.57, about 58.9% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.53.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Melbourne City vs Adelaide United FAQs

4 questions

What time is Melbourne City vs Adelaide United?

Kickoff is 08:30 on 26 April 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Melbourne City vs Adelaide United?

Melbourne City is the shortest 1X2 price at 2.15. The margin-adjusted share is about 43.7%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.57 and under 2.5 is 2.25.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.53. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Melbourne City vs Adelaide United prediction, H2H and stats