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Melbourne City vs Melbourne Victory Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Australia · A-LeagueSat, 21 Feb 2026

Melbourne City

DWDDL

Sat, 21 Feb 202609:35

1 : 3

Full time

Melbourne Victory

DWLWL

Pre-match win probability

35.3%Melbourne City27.3%Draw37.4%Melbourne Victory

Our prediction

1X · Melbourne City

Melbourne City vs Melbourne Victory listed tip from the board.

Odds1.5
Confidence37.4%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Melbourne City 35.3%
  • Draw 27.3%
  • Melbourne Victory 37.4%

Season statistics

A-League · highlighted side is stronger

Melbourne CityMelbourne Victory

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22.9% · 1.042% · 12
1.5 goals19.1% · 1.256% · 4
2.5 goals13.2% · 1.811.9% · 2
3.5 goals7.4% · 3.217.5% · 1.36

Both teams to score

Yes55.7%
No44.3%

Double chance

1X49%
X251%

Match result

Melbourne City2.7
Draw3.5
Melbourne Victory2.55

Both teams to score

Yes55.7% · 1.67
No44.3% · 2.1

1X

Chance49%
Odds1.5

X2

Chance51%
Odds1.44

Melbourne City

Chance35.3%
Odds2.7

Draw

Chance27.3%
Odds3.5

Melbourne Victory

Chance37.4%
Odds2.55

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: 1X at 1.5

Melbourne CityMelbourne Victory
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall49%51%

Melbourne City vs Melbourne Victory: prediction & preview

Australia · A-League · Sat, 21 Feb 2026

Melbourne City meet Melbourne Victory in the Australia, A-League on 21 February 2026 at 09:35 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 1–3.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Melbourne Victory at 2.55. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 37.4% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.8, about 52.6% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.67.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Melbourne City vs Melbourne Victory FAQs

4 questions

What time is Melbourne City vs Melbourne Victory?

Kickoff is 09:35 on 21 February 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Melbourne City vs Melbourne Victory?

Melbourne Victory is the shortest 1X2 price at 2.55. The margin-adjusted share is about 37.4%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.8 and under 2.5 is 2.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.67. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Melbourne City vs Melbourne Victory prediction, H2H and stats