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Melbourne City vs Perth Glory Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Australia · A-LeagueSun, 28 Dec 2025

Melbourne City

6th in table · 38 pts

LLWLD

Sun, 28 Dec 202509:00

1 : 3

Full time

Perth Glory

10th in table · 31 pts

DWLLL

Pre-match win probability

59%Melbourne City23%Draw18%Perth Glory

Our prediction

Home or Draw · Melbourne City

Melbourne City vs Perth Glory listed tip from the board.

Odds1.17
Confidence59%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Melbourne City 59%
  • Draw 23%
  • Perth Glory 18%

Season statistics

A-League · 10 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

Melbourne CityPerth Glory
Goals scored (avg)
1.41.4
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
1.31.3
Wins
108
Played
2626

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Melbourne City4W 2D 4L in last 10
  • 24 OctMelbourne Victory1 – 1Melbourne CityD
  • 17 OctAuckland3 – 1Melbourne CityL
  • 25 SeptOakleigh Cannons0 – 2Melbourne CityW
  • 11 AugLions2 – 0Melbourne CityL
  • 7 AugMelbourne City0 – 2PalermoL
Perth Glory3W 4D 3L in last 10
  • 23 OctBrisbane Roar2 – 1Perth GloryL
  • 17 OctMacarthur2 – 1Perth GloryL
  • 3 OctPerth Glory1 – 3Adelaide UnitedL
  • 27 SeptPerth Glory2 – 0Adelaide UnitedW
  • 21 JulLions1 – 1Perth GloryD
H2H
Head to headMelbourne City 6W · 1D · Perth Glory 2W · 4.9 goals a game
  • 22 MarPerth Glory1 – 1Melbourne City
  • 25 OctMelbourne City4 – 0Perth Glory
  • 15 FebMelbourne City1 – 0Perth Glory
  • 10 NovPerth Glory0 – 5Melbourne City
  • 3 AugPerth Glory5 – 4Melbourne City
  • 14 AprMelbourne City8 – 0Perth Glory

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals23% · 1.042% · 12
1.5 goals19.1% · 1.256% · 4
2.5 goals12.5% · 1.9112.5% · 1.91
3.5 goals8% · 317% · 1.4

Both teams to score

Yes48%
No52%

Double chance

1X66.3%
X233.7%

Match result

Melbourne City1.6
Draw4.1
Perth Glory5.25

Both teams to score

Yes48% · 1.95
No52% · 1.8

1X

Chance66.3%
Odds1.17

X2

Chance33.7%
Odds2.3

Melbourne City

Chance59%
Odds1.6

Draw

Chance23%
Odds4.1

Perth Glory

Chance18%
Odds5.25

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Home or Draw at 1.17

Melbourne CityPerth Glory
Recent form52%48%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Head-to-head72%28%
Overall77%23%

Trends

Trend · A-League

Melbourne City scored 1.4 per game in the last 10.

Trend · A-League

Melbourne City conceded 1.3 per game in the last 10.

Trend · A-League

Failed to score in 2 of those 10.

Trend · A-League

Kept a clean sheet in 3 of those 10.

Melbourne City vs Perth Glory: prediction & preview

Australia · A-League · Sun, 28 Dec 2025

Melbourne City meet Perth Glory in the Australia, A-League on 28 December 2025 at 09:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 1–3.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Melbourne City at 1.6. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 59% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.91, about 50% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on No at 1.8.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Melbourne City vs Perth Glory FAQs

4 questions

What time is Melbourne City vs Perth Glory?

Kickoff is 09:00 on 28 December 2025, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Melbourne City vs Perth Glory?

Melbourne City is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.6. The margin-adjusted share is about 59%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.91 and under 2.5 is 1.91.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.95. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.