Melbourne City vs Wellington Phoenix Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Australia · A-LeagueSun, 12 Apr 2026

Melbourne City

Sun, 12 Apr 202606:00

2 : 0

Full time

Wellington Phoenix

Pre-match win probability

55.8%Melbourne City23.1%Draw21.1%Wellington Phoenix

Our prediction

Melbourne City

Melbourne City is the shortest 1X2 price in the stored market.

Odds1.7
Confidence55.8%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Melbourne City 55.8%
  • Draw 23.1%
  • Wellington Phoenix 21.1%

Season statistics

A-League · highlighted side is stronger

Melbourne CityWellington Phoenix

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Melbourne City0W 0D 0L in last 0
    Wellington Phoenix0W 0D 0L in last 0
      H2H
      Head to headNo previous meetings found between these sides.

      Betting markets

      Bookmaker prices with margin removed

      Goal lineOverUnder
      0.5 goals22.8% · 1.031.6% · 15
      1.5 goals19.9% · 1.185.2% · 4.5
      2.5 goals14.5% · 1.6210.7% · 2.2
      3.5 goals9.9% · 2.3815.4% · 1.53

      Both teams to score

      Yes57.6%
      No42.4%

      Double chance

      1X64.6%
      X235.4%

      Match result

      Melbourne City1.7
      Draw4.1
      Wellington Phoenix4.5

      Both teams to score

      Yes57.6% · 1.62
      No42.4% · 2.2

      1X

      Chance64.6%
      Odds1.18

      X2

      Chance35.4%
      Odds2.15

      Melbourne City

      Chance55.8%
      Odds1.7

      Draw

      Chance23.1%
      Odds4.1

      Wellington Phoenix

      Chance21.1%
      Odds4.5

      No half-time prices stored.

      No corner prices stored.

      Model comparison

      Our pick: Melbourne City at 1.7

      Melbourne CityWellington Phoenix
      Recent form50%50%
      Attack50%50%
      Defence50%50%
      Goals model50%50%
      Overall73%27%

      Melbourne City vs Wellington Phoenix: prediction & preview

      Australia · A-League · Sun, 12 Apr 2026

      Melbourne City meet Wellington Phoenix in the Australia, A-League on 12 April 2026 at 06:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 2–0.

      On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Melbourne City at 1.7. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 55.8% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

      The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.62, about 57.6% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.62.

      Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

      Melbourne City vs Wellington Phoenix FAQs

      4 questions

      What time is Melbourne City vs Wellington Phoenix?

      Kickoff is 06:00 on 12 April 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

      Which outcome is shortest on Melbourne City vs Wellington Phoenix?

      Melbourne City is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.7. The margin-adjusted share is about 55.8%.

      What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

      Over 2.5 is 1.62 and under 2.5 is 2.2.

      Do both teams score on this match?

      Both teams to score is priced at 1.62. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.