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Melbourne Victory vs Adelaide United Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Australia · A-LeagueSat, 13 Dec 2025

Melbourne Victory

DWLDL

Sat, 13 Dec 202509:35

2 : 1

Full time

Adelaide United

LLWWL

Pre-match win probability

41.5%Melbourne Victory23.8%Draw34.7%Adelaide United

Our prediction

Away or Draw · Melbourne Victory

Melbourne Victory vs Adelaide United listed tip from the board.

Odds1.67
Confidence41.5%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Melbourne Victory 41.5%
  • Draw 23.8%
  • Adelaide United 34.7%

Season statistics

A-League · 10 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

Melbourne VictoryAdelaide United
Goals scored (avg)
1.5–
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
0.8–

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Melbourne Victory4W 4D 2L in last 10
  • 28 OctPersib Bandung2 – 0Melbourne VictoryL
  • 24 OctMelbourne Victory1 – 1Melbourne CityD
  • 18 OctWellington Phoenix2 – 1Melbourne VictoryL
  • 14 OctMelbourne Victory3 – 0FC SeoulW
  • 10 OctSouth Melbourne1 – 1Melbourne VictoryD
Adelaide United0W 0D 0L in last 0
    H2H
    Head to headMelbourne Victory 4W · 3D · Adelaide United 2W · 3.1 goals a game
    • 27 FebMelbourne Victory1 – 1Adelaide United
    • 17 JanAdelaide United2 – 1Melbourne Victory
    • 29 MarMelbourne Victory5 – 3Adelaide United
    • 18 JanAdelaide United3 – 2Melbourne Victory
    • 21 SeptMelbourne Victory1 – 0Adelaide United
    • 9 MarAdelaide United1 – 2Melbourne Victory

    Betting markets

    Bookmaker prices with margin removed

    Goal lineOverUnder
    0.5 goals23.3% · 1.021.4% · 17
    1.5 goals20.3% · 1.174.8% · 5
    2.5 goals15.5% · 1.539.5% · 2.5
    3.5 goals10% · 2.3815.1% · 1.57

    Both teams to score

    Yes64.5%
    No35.5%

    Double chance

    1X54.4%
    X245.6%

    Match result

    Melbourne Victory2.3
    Draw4
    Adelaide United2.75

    Both teams to score

    Yes64.5% · 1.44
    No35.5% · 2.62

    1X

    Chance54.4%
    Odds1.4

    X2

    Chance45.6%
    Odds1.67

    Melbourne Victory

    Chance41.5%
    Odds2.3

    Draw

    Chance23.8%
    Odds4

    Adelaide United

    Chance34.7%
    Odds2.75

    No half-time prices stored.

    No corner prices stored.

    Model comparison

    Our pick: Away or Draw at 1.67

    Melbourne VictoryAdelaide United
    Recent form94%6%
    Attack60%40%
    Defence69%31%
    Goals model60%40%
    Head-to-head61%39%
    Overall54%46%

    Trends

    Trend · A-League

    Melbourne Victory scored 1.5 per game in the last 10.

    Trend · A-League

    Melbourne Victory conceded 0.8 per game in the last 10.

    Trend · A-League

    Failed to score in 1 of those 10.

    Trend · A-League

    Kept a clean sheet in 4 of those 10.

    Melbourne Victory vs Adelaide United: prediction & preview

    Australia · A-League · Sat, 13 Dec 2025

    Melbourne Victory meet Adelaide United in the Australia, A-League on 13 December 2025 at 09:35 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 2–1.

    On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Melbourne Victory at 2.3. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 41.5% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

    The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.53, about 62% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.44.

    Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

    Melbourne Victory vs Adelaide United FAQs

    4 questions

    What time is Melbourne Victory vs Adelaide United?

    Kickoff is 09:35 on 13 December 2025, shown in Africa/Lagos.

    Which outcome is shortest on Melbourne Victory vs Adelaide United?

    Melbourne Victory is the shortest 1X2 price at 2.3. The margin-adjusted share is about 41.5%.

    What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

    Over 2.5 is 1.53 and under 2.5 is 2.5.

    Do both teams score on this match?

    Both teams to score is priced at 1.44. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.