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Melbourne Victory vs Adelaide United Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Australia · A-LeagueFri, 27 Feb 2026

Melbourne Victory

WDWLW

Fri, 27 Feb 202609:35

1 : 1

Full time

Adelaide United

WWLDW

Pre-match win probability

57.7%Melbourne Victory21.2%Draw21.2%Adelaide United

Our prediction

Draw · Melbourne Victory

Melbourne Victory vs Adelaide United listed tip from the board.

Odds4.5
Confidence57.7%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Melbourne Victory 57.7%
  • Draw 21.2%
  • Adelaide United 21.2%

Season statistics

A-League · highlighted side is stronger

Melbourne VictoryAdelaide United

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals23.6% · 1.011.1% · 21
1.5 goals21.5% · 1.113.7% · 6.5
2.5 goals17.6% · 1.367.5% · 3.2
3.5 goals12.5% · 1.9112.5% · 1.91

Both teams to score

Yes66.3%
No33.7%

Double chance

1X64.2%
X235.8%

Match result

Melbourne Victory1.65
Draw4.5
Adelaide United4.5

Both teams to score

Yes66.3% · 1.4
No33.7% · 2.75

1X

Chance64.2%
Odds1.2

X2

Chance35.8%
Odds2.15

Melbourne Victory

Chance57.7%
Odds1.65

Draw

Chance21.2%
Odds4.5

Adelaide United

Chance21.2%
Odds4.5

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Draw at 4.5

Melbourne VictoryAdelaide United
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall73%27%

Melbourne Victory vs Adelaide United: prediction & preview

Australia · A-League · Fri, 27 Feb 2026

Melbourne Victory meet Adelaide United in the Australia, A-League on 27 February 2026 at 09:35 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 1–1.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Melbourne Victory at 1.65. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 57.7% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.36, about 70.2% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.4.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Melbourne Victory vs Adelaide United FAQs

4 questions

What time is Melbourne Victory vs Adelaide United?

Kickoff is 09:35 on 27 February 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Melbourne Victory vs Adelaide United?

Melbourne Victory is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.65. The margin-adjusted share is about 57.7%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.36 and under 2.5 is 3.2.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.4. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Melbourne Victory vs Adelaide United prediction, H2H and stats