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Melbourne Victory vs Brisbane Roar Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Australia · A-LeagueSat, 14 Feb 2026

Melbourne Victory

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Sat, 14 Feb 202607:00

1 : 1

Full time

Brisbane Roar

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Pre-match win probability

55%Melbourne Victory25%Draw20%Brisbane Roar

Our prediction

Home · Melbourne Victory

Melbourne Victory vs Brisbane Roar listed tip from the board.

Odds1.73
Confidence55%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Melbourne Victory 55%
  • Draw 25%
  • Brisbane Roar 20%

Season statistics

A-League · highlighted side is stronger

Melbourne VictoryBrisbane Roar

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22.9% · 1.042% · 12
1.5 goals19.1% · 1.256% · 4
2.5 goals13.2% · 1.811.9% · 2
3.5 goals7.9% · 317% · 1.4

Both teams to score

Yes53.3%
No46.7%

Double chance

1X63.5%
X236.5%

Match result

Melbourne Victory1.73
Draw3.8
Brisbane Roar4.75

Both teams to score

Yes53.3% · 1.75
No46.7% · 2

1X

Chance63.5%
Odds1.18

X2

Chance36.5%
Odds2.05

Melbourne Victory

Chance55%
Odds1.73

Draw

Chance25%
Odds3.8

Brisbane Roar

Chance20%
Odds4.75

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Home at 1.73

Melbourne VictoryBrisbane Roar
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall73%27%

Melbourne Victory vs Brisbane Roar: prediction & preview

Australia · A-League · Sat, 14 Feb 2026

Melbourne Victory meet Brisbane Roar in the Australia, A-League on 14 February 2026 at 07:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 1–1.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Melbourne Victory at 1.73. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 55% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.8, about 52.6% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.75.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Melbourne Victory vs Brisbane Roar FAQs

4 questions

What time is Melbourne Victory vs Brisbane Roar?

Kickoff is 07:00 on 14 February 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Melbourne Victory vs Brisbane Roar?

Melbourne Victory is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.73. The margin-adjusted share is about 55%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.8 and under 2.5 is 2.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.75. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.